Let's calculate the account of Spark Points:
What is currently uncertain is how many $SPK will be allocated to the Points event.
The known data is as follows:
- Pre-Farming 1: 130M
- Pre-Farming 2: 14.48M/month, ~174M
- Aave: 7.24M/month, ~87M
The known distribution is 130+174+87=391M.
The total known allocation for the first year is 1.63B.
So what remains unknown is 1630-391=1239M.
Let's break it down:
There is still over 1.2 billion left, which is actually quite a lot, far exceeding the previous Pre-Farming mining. The question is how to balance between Pre-Farming and Points, after all, those who invested real money have been saving for 1-2 years. If a large proportion is given to Points, it is likely to be criticized, but if too little is given to Points, many people may be disappointed, as the current market expectations are quite high. It's time to test the actuaries at Spark.
(I personally think it's basically certain that this 1.2 billion will not all be given to Points; even if it is all given, new Points events will come out later to dilute it.)
A game of strategy among actuaries.