ADA/USDT: Bearish mid-term outlook – Sell rallies below 0.6825
Current Price: ~0.6810
Market Bias: Bearish (–2.4%)
Key Indicators:
• Price below all major MAs on 4H and 1D
• RSI(1D): 34.59 → near oversold
• MACD(1D): strongly negative
• 15m & 1h show short-term bounce potential, but weak volume
🔍 Trading Strategy
Spot (Swing Trade – Mid-term)
• Sell Entry: ~0.6790 (below 4H MA7)
• TP: 0.6541
• SL: 0.6868
• Reason: Clear downtrend on 4H & 1D
• Success Rate: ~65–70%
Futures (Scalping)
Scenario 1 – Long (Quick Rebound, ~60%)
• Entry: 0.6825 (breakout above 1H MA25)
• TP: 0.6868
• SL: 0.6779
• Note: RSI nearing overbought, quick exit required
Scenario 2 – Wait for Breakout
• If break above 0.6825 → Long to 0.6958
• If drop below 0.6779 → Short to 0.6620
• Probability: ~55% (sideways zone breakout)
⚠️ Risk Management
• Volume is still below MA → avoid large positions
• Major trend is bearish → avoid aggressive longs
• Use R:R ≥ 1:2, stop-loss required
Conclusion: Bias is bearish. Best strategy: sell rallies near 0.6825 unless volume or breakout proves otherwise.
