Based on my observations, in the last 10 Alpha airdrops, there were 2 in the 190-200 range, 3 in the 200-210 range, 4 in the 210-220 range, and 1 above 220.
If daily points are 14 (210), the probability of receiving an airdrop is 50%, while for 15 (225) points or more, the probability is 100%.
However, looking at the last five airdrops, the scores have all been above 210, with a maximum of 223.
This means that a score below 14 is basically hopeless, and with a score of 15, one can only get one or two airdrops in a month (considering one airdrop per day, 225-15=210). A score of 16 or higher is slightly better.
The returns from airdrops have evolved from an initial average of 100u to a mixed bag now, with some junk projects pulling back and a few mediocre projects suddenly making a comeback.
After all, if users are constantly fed with small fish and shrimp, or even some junk, it will definitely lead to widespread dissatisfaction. Occasionally, there needs to be a big lobster; at that point, users who are used to immediate cashing out will be frustrated to see they missed out the next day.
It’s important to know that for most retail investors, whether losing money or making money, the most painful experience is missing out on a sale. Nothing feels worse than missing a sale, as if they were supposed to get that much.
Currently, for most newcomers, even small investors who want to give it a try, it’s best to save 1000, trade in the 16,000 range, and aim for 16 points. The more you trade, the more wear and tear there will be.
There are also some tips for trading volume; avoid trading those in a downward trend, and for the targets you want to trade, it’s recommended to participate in trading competitions or focus on assets like ZKJ and KOGE, which have comparatively smaller fluctuations and are stable.
I want to complain that the Binance wallet is so slow and laggy, and the market charts are delayed, which can raise one's blood pressure. The exchange, on the other hand, is so smooth; it’s like heaven and earth. I hope they can optimize this well in the future.