There has never been a sudden surge that could be predicted in advance,

nor has there ever been a sudden drop that was foreseen.

All the masters of perpetual profit and the so-called experts in the crypto world are mostly just reacting after the fact; those who can analyze and predict accurately are mostly relying on luck and probability.

As a KOL, although my accuracy has improved recently, I still often get slapped in the face. Don't blindly trust certain individuals; relying on others means you have already lost half.

Some people, seasoned veterans who have encountered numerous pitfalls, still maintain a sense of moral conscience. If you like them, follow them, and approve of them, then comparatively speaking, you are quite fortunate.

On the other hand, there are those who speak without knowledge and whose hearts are treacherous. If you listen to them, you will fall into an irreversible abyss.

Market fluctuations depend on the market, and good and evil rely solely on the heart. Risks come daily, and gains and losses are weighed.

Recently, the situation has been unpredictable; the China-U.S. trade war has escalated once again, Brother Dong is cracking down harshly on rare earth smuggling, and Trump is directly throwing his chair, saying that the East Country lacks martial ethics. The U.S. controls finished products, while the East Country controls manufacturing materials and processes. Neither side is backing down, and there’s no game to be played.

Moreover, the Russia-Ukraine war could further escalate, with Russia suffering losses. If they don’t escalate the situation, how will they save face, and how will they secure more benefits in later peace negotiations? Right now, they are just fighting fiercely. Don’t hope for the war to stop.

From various data predictions, in June, the probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates is very low. Without liquidity, all the rallies are false breakthroughs; always be on guard against the risk of a bubble bursting.

Currently, from a daily chart perspective, there has been minor fluctuations, and it is in a sideways consolidation phase. However, risks can arise at any moment; the MACD has a death cross, indicating a trend of further corrections. It is not advisable to enter the market at this time; continue to wait patiently. The upper pressure is at 109,000, and the lower support is around 100,000.

On the hourly level, there has been a recent slight volume correction. From the pattern, a sudden drop is unlikely to occur temporarily. The MACD shows a golden cross, indicating a short-term rebound demand. One can go long at 104,000 with a stop loss around 103,000, or go short at 106,500 with a stop loss around 107,500. Today, there should be a small rebound, but it won't be too high.

From the three-day line pattern, the MACD shows a death cross, indicating a trend of correction. Currently, the volume for correction is insufficient, and there will be a period of consolidation. However, it is still not advisable to enter the market at this time; continue to wait patiently.