4H CHART ANALYSIS] BTC/USDT: Weak consolidation under 106k – Breakdown ahead?
✍️ By [@Bui Huan] – June 4, 2025
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📊 1. Overview – Where is BTC heading?
• Current Price: $105,372.61
• 24H High: $106,794.67
• 24H Low: $104,872.50
• EMA(7): 105,534 — EMA(25): 105,416 — EMA(99): 105,695
→ BTC is moving sideways around EMAs, indicating weak momentum and indecision.
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🧠 2. RSI & MACD Indicators
📈 RSI:
• RSI(6): 48.45
• RSI(12): 49.84
• RSI(24): 48.22
→ All are hovering around the neutral zone of 50 → No clear strength from bulls or bears.
📉 MACD:
• MACD Line: 148.52
• DIF: -5.39, DEA: -153.91
→ Although the MACD line is crossing slightly upward, the signal remains weak due to a large gap with the DEA line.
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🧱 3. Key Price Zones
• Strong resistance zone: 106.293 – 106.794
• Closest support: 104.248 – 103.068
• Price is consolidating with smaller candles → suggests a strong breakout is coming
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🔮 4. Futures Trade Scenarios
🟥 Bearish setup (Primary bias):
✅ If BTC breaks below 104,800, consider Short BTCUSDT
• Entry: 104,600
• TP1: 103,500
• TP2: 102,000
• SL: 105,700
→ Risk:Reward = 1:2.5
🟩 Bullish setup (Wait for breakout):
✅ If BTC breaks and closes above 106,800, consider Long BTCUSDT
• Entry: 107,000
• TP1: 108,800
• TP2: 110,000
• SL: 105,800
→ Risk:Reward = 1:2
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💡 Trading Tips
• Don’t enter trades while BTC is consolidating — wait for confirmation
• Use strict risk management when trading Futures
• This is a great time for breakout traders to plan both sides
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🎯 Summary
BTC is consolidating with no clear direction. A strong move is expected soon. Keep your eyes on the 104.8 and 106.8 levels — once one breaks, volatility will follow.
📉 Ready to trade this setup?
→ Watch live BTC chart here: $BTC
→ Start trading now with BTC/USDT Futures