Current situation (June 4, 2025):
- Price: ~$1.05–$1.13 (USD), ~€1 (EURI/EUR, based on current data).
- Context: EURI is a euro-backed stablecoin (1:1), regulated by MiCA (Markets in Crypto-Assets) in the EU. Issued by Banking Circle SA (Luxembourg), operates on Ethereum and BNB Smart Chain. Market capitalization: ~$36–$48 million, trading volume (24h): ~$2–$8 million.
Technical forecast for 2026:
- Prices:
- Optimistic: $1.20–$1.50 (growth of 10–40%) with increased adoption and liquidity.
- Neutral: $1.05–$1.20 (stability with slight growth).
- Pessimistic: $0.90–$1.00 with reduced demand or regulatory restrictions.
- Levels:
- Support: $1.00–$1.05, $0.90–$0.95.
- Resistance: $1.15–$1.20, $1.30–$1.40.
- Trend: Neutral, as the stablecoin is pegged to the euro. RSI (~30–50, neutral), MA 50/200 shows weak volatility. MACD on the weekly timeframe indicates a bearish trend, but with low momentum.
Fundamentals:
- Growth drivers:
- MiCA regulation provides trust and legality in the EU.
- Integration with DeFi, fast and cheap transactions on Ethereum/BNB Chain.
- Audits of smart contracts (PeckShield) and euro reserves (Banking Circle).
- Growth in the use of stablecoins in cross-border payments and CBDCs.
- Elimination of transfer fees (from May 25, 2025) increases liquidity.
- Risks:
- Competition from USDT, USDC, other euro stablecoins.
- Regulatory changes (MiCA may tighten).
- Low market capitalization and trading volumes (~$2–$8 million/24h).
- Dependence on euro stability and macroeconomics.
Recommendation:
- For investors: Use EURI to hedge against volatility or DeFi (staking with APR ~2–5%). Buy at $1.00–$1.05, stop below $0.90. Target: $1.20–$1.30.
- For traders: Trade in the range of $1.05–$1.20, buy on break of $1.20, target $1.30–$1.40. Sell below $1.00, target $0.90–$0.95.
- Risk: 1–2% of deposit, consider low volatility and stablecoin risks.
Risks: Regulation, competition, low liquidity, euro fluctuations.
