After 7 years of persistence, starting with 20,000 USDT has now achieved 20 million in profit; here are my trading insights, learn and you will earn.
1. Beware of bull market traps
Hot coins = High-risk area
Coins that are wildly FOMO'd in a bull market often have severe control and massive bubbles.
→ Principle: Market makers attract retail investors by pushing prices up; once the funds withdraw, the drop is far greater than the market.
→ Countermeasure: Better to miss out than to chase hot coins that have surged over 50%.
New coins launching are often a trap
New coins heavily pushed by exchanges often go through the 'launch - surge - crash' trilogy.
→ Case: A certain exchange's IEO project surged 10 times in 3 days then halved, with 90% of retail investors trapped.
→ Iron law: Observe new coins for 3 months before making decisions to avoid emotional trading.
2. Recognizing counterfeit tricks
Formula for harvesting altcoins
The standard process is 'violent washout → stepwise rise → rebranding harvesting'.
→ Data: Over 80% of altcoins have a lifespan of 1 year, with a zeroing rate exceeding 95%.
→ Solution: Only use 5% of position to gamble on counterfeits; take profits in batches once profitable.
The strongest rebound ≠ the greatest potential
Coins that surge and crash are often speculative, like Meme coins that generally drop over 80% after a short-term spike.
→ Truth: High-quality projects typically have a volatility of 1.5 times the market's amplitude.
3. Capture long-term opportunities
Time dilutes volatility
Mainstream coins like BTC/ETH have over 200% annualized returns over 10 years, but must withstand over 40% short-term pullbacks.
→ Strategy: Dollar-cost averaging + cold wallet storage to avoid frequent trading.
Potential coins are hidden in obscure areas
Real value projects often have low trading volumes before launch; for example, C98 stayed flat for 11 months before surging 27 times.
→ Excavation skills: Focus on GitHub code updates, institutional holdings, and other on-chain data.
Dark horse in the second half of the bull market
Mainstream Layer 1/Layer 2 projects that lag behind initially (like ATOM/NEAR) often catch up 3-5 times towards the end of a bull market.
→ Key: Reserve 30% of funds to wait for right-side opportunities.
4. Top trading mindset
Anti-human nature training
'Buy the dip, sell the rise' is the norm; use grid trading to automate: set to increase position every 10% drop, decrease position every 20% rise.
Identifying selling signals
When coin prices break through previous highs and then rapidly drop by over 15%, with trading volume continuously shrinking → immediately take 50% profits.
Sideways = Accumulation
Coins that experience narrow fluctuations for 3-6 months (amplitude <30%) have over a 70% probability of breaking through resistance after.
→ Case: SOL traded sideways for 4 months in 2021 before starting a 10-fold market.
Ultimate Survival Guide
✅ Code of Conduct: Complete research and position within 24 hours of discovering an opportunity
✅ Information leverage: Focus on 5 core data sources (like CoinGlass long-short ratio, Glassnode on-chain indicators)
⚠ Risk red line: Single coin holdings ≤ 20%, never leverage all-in
Remember: In the crypto world, surviving long is more important than earning quickly$ETH $BTC $BNB #币安Alpha上新 #Strategy增持比特币