To change your life, you need to:
- Have ~$1,000
- Understand market’s cyclicality
How to spot bull run start and $BTC future🧵👇
I started from ZERO and i know how hard it is
Over last 2 crypto market cycles, I managed to earn ~$2M...
I lost hundreds of thousands - but it taught me one key lesson:
A clear grasp of crypto cycles massively boosts your chances of big profits
I spent over 4 years on this, but you’ll get it in 10 mins — here’s guide 👇
1. Many people prefer studying something complicated, though the truth always lies in simplicity...
The crypto market moves in 4 clear phases:
- Accumulation
- Markup
- Euphoria
- Crash
Detailed descriptions and key signals of each cycle are outlined below!
2. Accumulation:
After a crash, market moves sideways: interest fades, volumes are minimal
Who’s buying: Smart money (funds, whales, VCs).
Start signals:
- Price “sticks” to bottom, forming steady range.
- Decreased volatility.
- Retail investors exit.
- Negative news flow, apathy on social media.
3. Markup Phase:
Big players actively accumulate, market begins to recover
Who’s buying: Funds, traders, early researchers.
Start signals:
- Volume increases
- 2–5x on BTC/ETH without media noise
- Fund & VC activity (DeFiLlama)
- Rising interest in fundamentals (L2s, early alts)
4. Euphoria Phase:
Massive asset growth, altseason, influx of newcomers and FOMO
Who’s buying: Retail (new market participants)
Start signals:
- Huge influx of newcomers (Google Trends)
- Alts doing 10–100x
- Media talking about BTC
- Everyone predicting “$1M BTC”
- Record-breaking volume on spot and derivatives
5. Distribution & Bear Phase:
Funds take profit, market starts to fall, mass liquidations begin.
Smart money sells | Retail thinks — it’s just a dip
Start signals:
- Divergence between price growth and weak volume
- Excessive open interest levels
- Inflated liquidity and overheated PE/FDV
- Centralized collapses
- Sharp drops in top assets by 30–50%
6. Analysis of past cycles:
To understand each stage better — you need to study past cycles
We focus on the 2017 and 2021 cycles — they brought the most users in.
7. 2017 Cycle:
-->Accumulation Phase: 2015–2016<--
After Mt.Gox collapse and 2014 bear, market went sideways. Ethereum development, rising interest in smart contracts.
-->Markup Phase: 2016 – early 2017<--
Alts revive. ETH <$1 → $10–$100. ICO boom.
-->Euphoria: June – Dec 2017<--
- BTC: $1K → $20K
- ETH: $10 → $1.4K
ICOs everywhere, Telegram chats at 100k+
Hype on CNBC, Forbes, Reddit.
-->Crash: Jan – 2018<--
ICO scams, SEC crackdown, capitulation
BTC -85%, ETH -95%, thousands of alts died.
8. 2021 Cycle:
-->Accumulation Phase: 2019 – early 2020<--
BTC bounce to $14K from $3K. Consolidation. Start of DeFi.
-->Markup Phase: 2020 – 2021<--
DeFi Summer
- ETH: $90 → $4K
- BTC: $10K → $60K
Institutions: Microstrategy, Tesla
-->Euphoria: Nov 2021<--
- NFT boom
- BTC: $69K
- Solana: $1 → $260
- Fantom, AVAX, LUNA — x100
-->Crash: 2022<--
Terra/UST collapse → chain reaction
FTX, Celsius, BlockFi went down
- BTC: $69K → $15K
- ETH: $4K → $800
9. How to spot a new bull cycle?
- BTC breaks ATH with volume — key signal
- ETH follows, then L2s, AI, RWA rise
- Memes and games explode near end — sign of cycle peak
- TVL grows (DeFiLlama)
- DEX activity recovers (Uniswap, GMX)
- Open Interest surges (Bybit, Binance)
Everything is simple and accessible to everyone — don’t miss opportunity!
10. What to do now?
The market is currently in a major growth phase — time to look closely at certain assets.
In the near future, we expect $BTC to reach $170k, $ETH — $10,000 & ALTs — x100.
If you like this thread, don’t forget to:
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#BinanceAlphaAlert #MarketRebound #SaylorBTCPurchase #MarketPullback #TrumpMediaBitcoinTreasury
