#PCEMarketWatch
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๐ PCE Data & Market Reactions โ May 2025 Macro Pulse
Inflation remains stickyโฆ and Wall Street is still nervous.
๐๏ธ May 2025 Update:
The latest PCE inflation data came in line with expectations, but that wasnโt enough to calm the markets.
๐ Stock-index futures โ S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq-100 โ all slipped by around 0.4% post-report.
๐ Interpretation: The market may be pricing in slower rate cuts or doubting disinflationโs staying power.
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๐ Flashback: Earlier PCE Signals
๐ March 2025:
Headline PCE rose 2.3% YoY, leading to a pullback in U.S. equities.
It reinforced the Fedโs caution, despite easing CPI numbers.
๐ February 2025:
Core PCE (Fedโs preferred gauge) climbed 0.4% MoM, just above forecasts (0.3%).
12-month inflation held steady โ signaling persistent underlying price pressures.
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๐ก My Take:
The market isnโt reacting just to numbers โ itโs reacting to what the Fed might do next.
Sticky inflation + Fed silence = uncertainty.
Until we see a clean move toward the Fedโs 2% target, expect continued volatility.
๐ Dip? Possible. ๐ Relief rally? Only if core inflation clearly drops.
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๐ข Stay sharp, not shaken. These quiet data days are often the calm before the next Fed storm.
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