On May 22, the high was 111,98 with an error of 200. This is originally a small correction, correcting near 103,000. Once the correction is complete, it will initiate the main upward wave, and Bitcoin BTC price correcting near 103,000 will commence the main upward wave, with altcoins also set to rise.
Currently, Bitcoin is at a low of 103,068, and the correction has completed. If it’s slow, it may test the low around 103,000 again; if it’s fast, it will soar and start the main upward wave.
Ethereum is currently around $2780, analyzed on May 10, weak rebounds around $2700, strong rebounds around $3100.
Ethereum ETH's rebound target is around $2700 or $3100. Why does Ethereum's long-term trend keep approaching a low of $81?
Many people only think about earning several times when investing but are unwilling to bear the price of high volatility, only desiring low risk.
It is impossible to seek high returns while wanting low risk. How much one can earn depends on the price one is willing to pay. If you are only willing to bear low risk, then you can only achieve low returns.
To earn several times, one must endure wide fluctuations. If you can't withstand a 10-20% correction, how can you expect to earn several times? It is impossible to earn several times without paying a price; a potential rise will inevitably involve multiple significant corrections.
If you only want to earn a few tens of percent, you can only adopt the strategy of 'earning a little and running away,' but you will miss out on the main upward wave; sacrifices must be made.
To earn several times, one must endure price corrections. If you only want to earn a few tens of percent, you must accept missing out on the main upward wave. There is no possibility of buying at the lowest price and then immediately skyrocketing several times.
Stefan Zweig wrote in (The Headless Queen): At that time, she was still too young to know that all gifts bestowed by fate had already been priced in secretly.
Fate does not bestow gifts for free; everything that seems easily obtained will ultimately be taken back in another form.
In investment, pursuing high multiple returns is often accompanied by high volatility. Price corrections and severe fluctuations are the norm; if you want to capture the main upward wave, you must be psychologically prepared to endure these ups and downs.
Conversely, if your goal is to earn a few tens of percent and you choose the 'earn a little and run' strategy, although the pressure is low and it is more stable, you may indeed miss out on a big market—missing the main upward wave is almost inevitable.
This is actually a matter of trade-offs:
High return paths require patience and resilience, enduring price fluctuations, and may even face the risk of short-term losses.
Low return paths pursue short-term certainty but sacrifice larger potential returns.
"There is no perfect scenario where you buy at the lowest price and then it immediately skyrockets several times." The market does not cooperate like that. Trading is essentially about seeking opportunities amid uncertainty. To earn more, one must pay a price, which may be time, energy, or emotional turmoil.
Whether pursuing several times the return or accepting a steady return of several tens of percent, there is no absolute right or wrong; the key is what price you are willing to bear.
Investment, like life, has no free lunch. You can ask yourself: How much volatility can I accept? Do I value short-term safety or long-term returns more?
Ultimately, the real winners are not those who evade the price but those who soberly calculate the cost and are willing to pay for it.
From an evolutionary biology perspective, 'wanting both' (i.e., simultaneously maximizing two conflicting traits or strategies) is impossible in most cases.
"To seek high returns and low risk" is a paradox?
Evolutionary biology has long revealed that all survival advantages must pay hidden costs; all 'free lunches' are cognitive illusions.
The real winners are those investors who understand that "evolution does not pursue perfection, only selects for adaptability": If you choose the storm, you must give up tranquility, rushing into the rapids like male salmon; if you choose the harbor, you must accept ordinariness, waiting silently for the tides like female sea turtles.
As Darwin wrote in (The Origin of Species): 'It is not the strongest or the most intelligent that survives, but the one most responsive to change.'
Limits on energy allocation: the energy of organisms is finite and must be distributed among survival, reproduction, and defense. Male salmon expend all their energy on migrating and breeding, dying after mating; female salmon conserve energy to nurture their offspring.
Research shows that the limitation of resources for organisms dictates that they must make choices among different functions.
Investment reflection: high return strategies (like heavily investing in high-volatility assets) consume a lot of 'energy' (funds, emotions, time), while low-risk strategies (like cash management) save energy but sacrifice potential returns.
Evolutionary biology supports this view: organisms cannot optimize all traits simultaneously, and the limitation of resources dictates trade-offs.
To achieve high returns, one must endure high risks; if one wants to pursue low risk, one must accept low returns. In the investment market, no one can lock in high returns without enduring the baptism of turbulent waves.
Crocodiles never lament the wings of birds.
It only transforms vertebrae into bearings for death's rolling.
The sea turtle never envied the tail fin of the sailfish.
It has evolved its shell into a fortress to withstand the undercurrents.
The true winners
It is a species that engraves 'cost' into its genetic code.
They exchanged pain for the right to survive.
To seek eternity through imperfection
The so-called adaptable are merely the brave who recognize the cost list and sign their names on the energy ledger.
At this moment, the candlestick chart overlaps with the DNA double helix in the depths of time: each correction is an evolutionary selection, and every missed opportunity is a notarization of energy conservation.
Personal opinion, for reference only, cannot be used as an investment basis. Anyone who uses this as an investment basis does so at their own risk.
