
Plain language analysis:
What’s the situation now?
The price is stuck at 41.8 (see the latest transaction price in the chart), swaying on the edge of a cliff.
All trapped above: 45 (the halfway point it fell from), 50 (today's opening price), and 52.5 (today's highest point) are all resistance; it’s difficult to rise.
The support below is as flimsy as paper: If 41.8 breaks, it will directly rush to 39 (the lowest point in nearly half a year).
What is the main force doing?
Playing tricks: Although it shows a 2% increase today, it’s actually a fake rise from one hand to the other, convenient for unloading.
Order placements are deceptive: The order book shows 41.85-41.86 with buy orders, but the main force is secretly withdrawing orders, luring retail investors to take over.
Can it still rise back?
Don’t dream in the short term! The 7-day moving average is still at a high of 50, and the current price is 18% lower than it, rebounding is like pushing a stone uphill.
The only hope: Hold 41.8 firmly without breaking, waiting for large funds to come to the rescue (the probability is very low).
Retail investor operation guide (direct answers).
For those holding coins:
Immediately reduce positions: If it can run above 41.8, then run to protect most of the principal.
If it falls below 41.8: Cut all losses! Don’t wait until 30 to cry.
For those who want to bottom hunt:
Don’t reach out now! 41.8 is not a bottom; it’s a baiting platform for the main force.
The two positions are:
At 39: Try with small money (like 10% position), run when it rebounds to 41.8.
At 37: If it drops to this, buy more (but set a stop loss at 36.5).
For those trading contracts:
Only short, not long! Open a short at the current price of 41.8 (stop loss at 42.3), target 39.
Don’t exceed 5 times leverage! This coin often crashes 30% at midnight; high leverage can lead to liquidation instantly.
Key reminder (must read)
Watch 41.8 tonight: If it can’t stabilize for 10 minutes, hurry to clear your positions!
Beware of fake rebounds: If it suddenly rises to 43-45, don’t chase it; it’s mostly a trap.
Long-term wait for signals: Unless the weekly line stabilizes at 42.3 with volume, don’t layout for the medium to long term.
Summary of the hard truth:
"41.8 is dancing on the tip of a knife; win the bet to earn a meal, lose the bet to lose a house!"
Ordinary people should act less and observe more; if you really want to operate, remember:
🔸 Reduce positions to protect capital > 🔸 Buy the dip in a crash > 🔸 Hold on to losses until everything is gone.
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