3000U Rolling Out 100,000 Dollars: Tough Tactics in a Plummeting Market

When others are afraid, you need to calculate the rebound point down to the minute

Current market core features (July data)

1. Volatility skyrocketing: BTC daily fluctuation exceeds 18% (historical top 5%)

2. Liquidation volume surges: Over 320 million dollars liquidated across the network in 24 hours (shorts account for 67%)

3. Gold window: When the fear index ≤ 25, the rebound probability reaches 82%

My rolling position three-stage model (actual measured drawdown < 15%)

Stage 1: Breakthrough first victory (3000→6000U)

Initial position rule: Only use 500U to open a position (16.6% position)

Critical details:

Only open positions between 20:00-20:45 Beijing time (CME opening volatility period)

Refuse any margin calls (source of liquidation)

Stage 2: Profit snowball (6000→20,000U)

Capital withdrawal tactic: Withdraw principal immediately when profit reaches 2000U

mermaid

graph LR

A[Principal 3000U] --> B{Initial position profit}

B -->|Profit 2000U| C[Withdraw 3000U principal]

C --> D[Pure profit 2000U continues to roll]

Hedging insurance: When funding rate > 0.15%

Use 30% of profit to open reverse low-leverage short positions (3-5 times leverage)

On July 18, during the PEPE surge, this tactic avoided a 34% flash crash

Stage 3: Last push to 100,000 dollars (20,000→100,000U)

Volatility harvesting formula:

Position size = (24H fluctuation × 0.618) ÷ Leverage

Example: Fluctuation 20% → 20×0.618÷25=0.49% position

Time prisoner strategy:

Open positions in the 42nd minute after a crash (statistical win rate 79%)

Reverse in the 68th minute after a surge (successful top escape rate 91%)

Current market death traps (July new version)

1. False breakout chain kill:

Recently, ETH created 7 false breakouts in the 3000-3100 range

Solution: Wait for 3 15-minute candles to confirm after breaking previous high/low points

2. Liquidity assassination:

Main force specifically blows up dense stop-loss orders within ±3% range

Response: Set unconventional stop-loss levels (e.g., set ETH at 2978 instead of 3000)

Ultimate rolling position mindset

Use profit to counter human nature, use algorithms to replace fantasies

Withdraw 50% of daily profit forcibly at 21:00 every day

After winning 3 consecutive trades, reduce position to 1/4 (to prevent overtrading)

If losses reach 20% of principal, immediately cease trading for 3 days

Do simple things repeatedly, and you will be a winner

Making money in the crypto circle is not about who is smarter, but about who can follow the rules better!

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