Having navigated the crypto space for nearly a decade, I have experienced gains and losses, tried ICOs, meme coins, and mining, and gone through three bull-bear cycles. After reviewing countless trades, I found that the only way to achieve stable profits is one simple underlying logic that everyone can understand: buy in a bear market, sell in a bull market, that’s all there is to it.
The bull-bear cycle is clear and traceable: a bull market usually lasts 6 months to 1 year, while a bear market lasts 1-2 years, and a complete cycle lasts 3-4 years. By understanding the pattern, each bull market can yield 50%+ returns, easily outperforming wealth management, stocks, and funds—this is not guesswork, but a market law.
Practical rules consist of five steps:
Only lay low in a bear market.
Be sure to be patient, aim for the bottom range of the bear market (indicated by Bitcoin being neglected and silence in the crypto space) and enter in batches. This phase may last over a year but is the golden period to pick up chips—there's no need to chase the lowest point; building positions in batches is more prudent.
Heavy investment should only be in mainstream coins.
BTC and ETH: the eternal core of the crypto space, buy in a bear market and sell in a bull market, a 50%+ increase is the baseline, favored by large capital.
Platform coins: such as BNB, deeply tied to exchanges, with strong resilience.
Strong public chains: such as SOL and AVAX, with solid technology and sufficient momentum in a bull market.
Infrastructure coins: such as MATIC, with widespread ecological applications and clear long-term value.
Beware of consensus coins: like Dogecoin and SHIB, lacking substantial application support and relying solely on speculation; they should only be held in very small positions for entertainment—avoid heavy investment.
Iron law: Altcoins are essentially 'tools for harvesting retail investors'; coins that surge in a bull market may go to zero in the next round. Betting on altcoins without insider information is equivalent to gambling.
Decisively take profits in the mid-term of a bull market.
Early stage: BTC leads the rise, ETH follows, mainstream coins rise steadily, and a few altcoins show unusual activity.
Mid-term: BTC and ETH are rising steadily, mainstream coins are surging, and altcoins begin to follow.
Later stage: BTC may drop first, ETH could make a final push, and altcoins may surge wildly (by several times or even hundreds of times).
Final stage: BTC plummets by thousands of points, briefly rebounds, and then dips again, signaling the end of the bull market. At this time, be sure to stop-loss and don’t hold onto fantasies; otherwise, your capital will be irretrievable.
Reject the gambling mentality of bull markets.
In the late bull market, altcoins may fly wildly, tempting as they are, but following them at this time is like taking nuts from a fire:
Meme coins can have a lot of hype and a strong upward trend, but without fundamental support, they will be halved or go to zero in a bear market.
If you really feel the urge, gamble with no more than 10% of your funds; if you make a profit, don’t increase your position—one mistake in heavy investment can wipe out all gains.
Capital safety is above all.
If caught in a bind, decisively cut losses to protect your capital. Stop-loss before a bear market collapse, with a maximum loss of 50%; if you hold on stubbornly, you may end up losing everything.
After cashing out in a bull market, patiently wait for the next bear market bottom; avoid trying to catch the dip halfway up, and even more so, don’t use profits to chase altcoins.
Finally, I offer you a piece of advice:
The crypto space never lacks opportunities; what is lacking is the rationality to restrain greed. Follow the market cycle, don’t be misled by short-term fluctuations—accumulate coins in a bear market and sell in a bull market, preserve your capital, and stay away from gambling; only then can you survive in this brutal market until the end.
Follow me closely, use precise strategic analysis, and select with millions in AI big data to secure your position? The market never lacks opportunities; the question is whether you can seize them. By following experienced people and the right crowd, we can profit more! The team still has spots!!!