It is expected that the upcoming cryptocurrency season (2025) will last between 6 months to a year, based on historical patterns associated with the Bitcoin cycle.
Why this prediction?
Cryptocurrency markets follow a cycle of about 4 years, primarily influenced by the Bitcoin "halving" event, where the mining reward is halved, reducing the new supply of the currency and increasing buying pressure.
The last halving event occurred in April 2024, meaning the current cycle may last until 2028.
Stages of the current cycle:
1. Accumulation Phase: Started after the price drop in late 2022, where investors began buying currencies at low prices.
2. Markup Phase: Started in early 2024, with increased institutional interest and rising prices.
3. Distribution Phase: Occurs when the market reaches its peak, and investors start taking profits.
4. Markdown Phase: Occurs after distribution, where prices begin to decline.
If the current cycle continues according to previous patterns, the growth phase is expected to last until the end of 2025, followed by the distribution and markdown phases in 2026.