On June 2, 2025, at 18:00, the price of LPT coin was reported at $8.80, down 5.12% from the previous day, with a 24-hour trading volume exceeding $63 million, making Gate.io the second largest trading platform globally. Technically, the 4-hour K-line shows a 'bearish engulfing' pattern, the MACD histogram remains negative, but the RSI indicator has dropped to 42.22, indicating oversold signals. On-chain data shows that a user lost over $150,000 in PENDLE-LPT due to a phishing attack, raising concerns about smart contract safety.
Institutional movements and market divergence: Grayscale recently included LPT in its decentralized AI fund, seen as a strategic bet on the Web3 video sector. At the same time, LPT's trading volume in the Upbit Korean Won market reached 23.2%, leading to a game of chess between retail influx and institutional actions. On social media, the community is fiercely debating 'Grayscale's entry = the next FIL' versus 'price halving to zero'.
Technical breakthroughs and risk warnings: The Livepeer team's AI subnet has completed its first phase of optimization, planning to launch on the mainnet in Q3 2024, allowing nodes to execute AI tasks using GPU resources to earn ETH and LPT. Currently, there are 20 high-performance AI nodes active, with three new major addresses holding a total of 950,000 LPT in the past 30 days, indicating a clear concentration of chips. However, competitor Theta Network's market share has risen from 12% to 28%, with a daily average of active nodes 1.7 times that of Livepeer. On the regulatory front, the U.S. Congress will review the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act on June 10, which, if passed, could affect LPT's compliance.
Price predictions and operational strategies: Institutions like Cycle Capital believe that LPT, as a fully circulating currency (market cap of $330 million), may leverage its first-mover advantage in the AI video sector to push its market cap towards $5 billion, corresponding to a price of about $24. Short-term technical indicators show that if it falls below $8.40 (24-hour low), it may test the strong support level at $6.50.
Aggressive strategy: Gradually build positions in the $8.5-$9 range, with a stop-loss set at $8.2 and a target price of $12; use platforms like Bitfinex to take 10x long positions to profit from oversold rebounds, keeping the position size under 0.5%; closely monitor the progress of the June 10 bill, and if a positive signal is released, immediately chase the price up to $11.5.
Conservative strategy: Invest $5,000 on the 15th of each month, with a holding period of at least 6 months; stake LPT in official nodes for an annual return of 12-18%; allocate 70% LPT + 30% BTC to hedge regulatory risks.
Risk control: Total position should not exceed 15% of personal crypto assets; take profits at 50% when the price breaks $12, with remaining positions set to trailing stops; join the official Telegram channel to receive key information such as the mainnet launch of the AI subnet.
Conclusion: LPT is currently caught in a game between Grayscale backing and regulatory uncertainty, with the Web3 video market expected to reach $5 billion by 2025, while its value as a core token of decentralized infrastructure has yet to be fully realized. Current market divergences provide opportunities for positioning, but caution is advised against technological substitution and policy risks, suggesting dynamic strategy adjustments based on risk tolerance.

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