The current cryptocurrency price is fluctuating in the range of $1.05 to $3.58, with strong short-term support at $1.05 and a resistance zone between $1.12 and $3.5. Over the past week, on-chain whale addresses have increased their holdings by 24.91%, and there has been a surge in active addresses and large transactions, indicating that institutions are accelerating their positioning.
Technically, the market is in a tug-of-war, with the RSI maintaining a neutral range of 55-60. If the weekly MACD golden cross breaks the $3.5 resistance, it is expected to target $5; if it fails to hold above $1.05, it may retreat to the $0.97-$1.0 range. In the short term (1-3 months), driven by Web3 social concepts and institutional entry, caution is needed regarding Bitcoin volatility and the regulatory risks from the EU MiCA legislation. In the medium term (6-12 months), if the NFT market and DAO governance ecosystems take off, combined with collaborations from Meta/Twitter, the price may reach $8-15, conservatively looking at $5-8. In the long term, by 2030, under the popularization of Web3, there is a possibility of breaking the historical high of $97.92 and challenging $122.
In terms of operation, in the short term, one can accumulate in batches between $1.05 and $1.6, with a stop-loss below $1.0; after breaking $3.5, increase the position with a target of $5 and stop-loss at $3, focusing on tracking trading volume and new exchange dynamics.
For medium to long-term positions, it is recommended not to exceed 5%-10%, diversifying risks with mainstream coins and using dollar-cost averaging while paying attention to mobile adaptation, staking returns, and other ecological progress.
Risk hedging can include stablecoins or put options. The project's core advantages lie in zk-SNARKs privacy technology, multi-chain compatibility, and a user base of 2.4 million. Support is provided by institutional holdings such as DWF Labs; risks are concentrated in SEC reviews, competitive drainage from the Solana chain, and the historical volatility of 50% in a single day. It is advisable to participate with small positions and focus on Twitter collaborations and technical upgrades.
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