🧠 Current Situation
• ADA price is around 0.6809 USDT, showing signs of escaping the weak accumulation zone, but trading volume is still low → not confirming a clear trend.
• All timeframe RSIs are neutral and slightly rising, MACD turns positive → a short-term recovery signal may occur.
• However, the overall trend remains bearish when viewed from MA(99) long timeframe.
📌 Proposed trading strategy
🔸 1. Spot Trading (For Medium-term)
• Safe entry: When the price clearly exceeds 0.6900 with high volume (breaking the nearest resistance).
• Target TP: 0.7450–0.7500 (MA99 long timeframe).
• Strict SL: Below 0.6700 (loss of support).
• ✅ Success probability: ~60%, if volume improves in the next 24 hours.
⚠️ Do not buy if the price is still fluctuating around 0.6800 with low volume – high risk due to potential “bulltrap”.
🔸 2. Futures Trading (Short-term – Leverage)
Long Scenario (priority – probability 60%)
• Entry: When the price exceeds 0.6900 with a large body candle and RSI(6) > 55.
• TP: 0.7150 – 0.7350
• SL: Below 0.6750
Short Scenario (defensive – probability 55%)
• Entry: If the price breaks below 0.6700
• TP: 0.6500
• SL: Above 0.6900
⚠️ Should wait for confirmation signals from BTC – if BTC drops deeply below 104,700, ADA could easily lose support at 0.6700.
📉 Long-term buy wait scenario
• If the price returns to the range of 0.6000–0.6200 (accumulation zone before April) with high volume → consider accumulating for long-term investment.
⚠️ Note
• ADA is still being influenced by the overall market trend, especially BTC and altcoin sentiment.
• Low volume = not enough confidence to open large positions.
• Trading must adhere to strict SL and avoid FOMO before breakout is clearly confirmed.
