Total Market Cap

BTC Dominance (BTC.D)

USDT.D + USDC.D (Stablecoin Dominance)

1. Total Capitalization (TOTAL CAP) – Market health chart
After a strong increase peaking at ~3.5T, the market has corrected to the technical support zone of 3.18–3.22T.

EMA34–89–200 still maintains a bullish stack, the current pullback is technical – not distribution.

Daily RSI & H4 shows a clear bullish divergence, MACD is starting to cross → confirming that a short-term bottom may have formed.

Wave structure indicates this could be the end of wave (2) and preparing to enter a new wave (3) – with a potential target >3.68T.

Conclusion: Total cap is at a golden support zone to accumulate strong mid-term altcoins.

2. BTC Dominance (BTC.D) – Who is leading the wave?
BTC.D is approaching the resistance zone of 65.4–66.0%, RSI & MACD are weakening, volume is low.
The ABC wave structure is likely forming → wave B may have completed, wave C is waiting for a reversal confirmation.
On H1–M15, BTC.D is trapped around the peak → if it breaks 63.8–64.2%, altcoins will explode.

Conclusion: BTC has led the wave in phase 1, but if BTC.D drops → a mini Altseason may begin.

3. Stablecoin Dominance (USDT.D + USDC.D) – Is money flowing in or out?

The structure is forming lower highs, RSI & MACD are weakening on Daily.

Price accumulates below resistance zone of 6.8–7.0% → if it breaks the 6.1–6.3% zone, it confirms money is leaving stablecoins → flowing into altcoins/BTC.
On H4–H1 timeframe, the funding rate is slightly negative and OBV is trending weaker.

Conclusion: Money is waiting for confirmation to withdraw from stablecoins → observe the 6.1–6.3% zone as key.

MARKET FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 1–2 MONTHS

Priority scenario (60–70% probability): Altcoin recovers strongly

BTC.D reverses at the 65.4% zone → altcoins take over.

TOTAL rebounds from 3.2T → short target 3.45–3.68T.
USDT.D breaks the 6.2% zone → confirms risk-on money flow.

Proposed Action:

Increase allocation in strong altcoins with good structure.

Prioritize spot swing, split positions around Daily POI.

Closely monitor BTC.D movements to timely adjust the portfolio.

Alternative scenario (30–40% probability): BTC holds trend – Altcoin moves sideways

BTC.D has not broken the peak → Bitcoin season continues.
TOTAL sideways in the range of 3.2–3.45T → the risk of a deep correction is not high.
USDT.D is moving sideways around 6.4–6.6%.

Proposed Action:

Prioritize holding BTC/ETH or strong layer 1 altcoins.
Limit altcoin futures unless there is a strong breakout.

CONCLUSION

The market is approaching the “pivot zone” with many confluences signaling a moderate to small altcoin rebound.
If BTC.D breaks the peak and stablecoin dominance withdraws → money will flow back to altcoins, especially midcap and short-term meme trends.