Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $105,177, teetering on a pivotal support level around $104,000. This juncture is critical, as it may determine the next significant price movement for BTC.
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🔍 Market Structure Overview
Trendline Break: BTC has recently broken below its bullish trendline, forming a Lower Low (LL), indicating a potential shift in short-term market structure.
Key Support: The $104,000 level is acting as a crucial support. Holding above this could signal strength; falling below may suggest further downside.
Resistance Ahead: Immediate resistance is observed at $111,707. A break above this could reignite bullish momentum.
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📈 Bullish Scenario
If BTC maintains support above $104,000 and forms a Higher Low (HL), it could indicate a bullish re-accumulation phase. A subsequent break above $111,707 may validate this, with potential targets around $129,984, aligning with previous macro range liquidity zones.
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📉 Bearish Scenario
Conversely, a decisive break below $104,000 could confirm a bearish continuation, targeting the $94,317 support zone. This aligns with previous demand areas and Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting a deeper correction or consolidation phase.
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📊 Technical Indicators
RSI (Daily): Currently at 42.25, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish momentum.
MACD (4H): The histogram is increasing, suggesting weakening bearish momentum, though the MACD line remains below the signal line.
Bollinger Bands (4H): Narrowing bands indicate decreasing volatility, often a precursor to significant price movements.
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🧠 Strategy Insights
Volume Confirmation: Monitor trading volumes for confirmation of breakouts or breakdowns.
Market Sentiment: Overall sentiment remains cautious, with a sentiment score of 40/100, indicating a bearish bias.
Futures Market: The long/short ratio stands at 1.0, reflecting a neutral stance among futures traders.
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🚀 Final Thoughts
Bitcoin's current position at the $104,000 support level is crucial. Traders should closely monitor price action around this zone, as it may dictate the next significant move. Whether BTC rebounds or declines further will depend on market reactions in the coming days.
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2532-0Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.* *