#### 🌐 Executive summary (the big picture of Ethereum)
- Natural correction: ETH at $2,493 (-1.7%) within a healthy trend after testing resistance at $2,700.
- Strong institutional liquidity: Selling flows (-8,524 ETH) balanced with large buying (164,572 ETH) – a signal for long-term accumulation.
- Strong fundamentals:
- Dencun Upgrade (March 2024) reduced Layer 2 fees by 90%.
- TVL (Total Value Locked) $48B – dominating 58% of the DeFi market.
- Strategic recommendation: Buy on dips with a 6-12 month horizon.
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### 🔍 Three-dimensional analysis (Technical/Fundamental/Institutional)
#### 1. Institutional flow analysis
- Large sell (-8,524 ETH): Natural correction after a strong rise.
- Large buy (164,572 ETH): Strong support at $2,450 - $2,500 from hedge funds.
- "Institutional confidence" index:
- Open ETH futures contracts: $8.2B (near all-time highs).
- Exchange balance: 14.2M ETH (lowest since 2018) – a sign of accumulation.
#### 2. Critical technical indicators
- Key resistances:
- $2,700 (weekly resistance).
- $3,000 (psychological target).
- Critical supports:
- $2,450 (50-day moving average).
- $2,200 (accumulation zone 2024).
#### 3. Impactful technical developments
- Proto-Danksharding Upgrade: Increasing network capacity to 100,000 TPS.
- Launch of Ethereum ETFs: Expected in 2025 – could inject $15B+ annually.
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### 🎯 Customized trading strategies
#### For long-term investors (HODLers)
- Strategy: Gradual buying at:
- $2,400 - $2,500 (institutional support zone).
- $2,200 - $2,300 (if the market drops globally).
- Targets:
- $3,500 - $4,000 (2024).
- $8,000+ (2025 with ETFs).
#### For medium-term traders (Swing Traders)
- Entry points:
- $2,450 (with confirmation of a rebound).
- Above $2,550 (break of a minor resistance).
- Exit points:
- $2,650 - $2,700 (partial profit taking).
- Stop loss: below $2,400.
#### For volatility professionals (Day Traders)
- Range trading:
- Sell at $2,550 - $2,600.
- Buy at $2,450 - $2,500.
- Risk management: No more than 3% of capital in a trade.
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### 📅 Predictions 2024-2025 (3 Scenarios)
1. Base scenario (60%):
- $3,200 - $3,500 by the end of 2024 with increased institutional adoption.
2. Strong bullish scenario (30%):
- $5,000+ if Ethereum ETFs are approved.
3. Bearish scenario (10%):
- $1,800 - $2,000 in case of a severe economic recession.
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### 💡 Investment wisdom
> "Ethereum is not just a currency – it is the infrastructure for Web3. Traders profit from it, and investors build on it."
#### 🚨 Final warning:
- Avoid high leverage (>5x) – ETH volatility can be severe.
- 80% of ETH coins stored for over 1 year – a sign of long-term confidence.