📈 Overall context
BTC/USDT is trading at 103924 USDT — in a corrective phase after a recent rise.
Local maximum — 110000 USDT, from where there was a pullback.
Local minima — around 95000–96000 USDT.
🟩 Support and resistance levels
✅ Resistance (newly clarified levels):
0.5 Fibo — 107127 USDT
0.62 Fibo — 107964 USDT
0.79 Fibo — 109199 USDT
110000 USDT — local maximum, key resistance.
✅ Support:
101000–102000 USDT — local accumulation zone, important support.
98000–99000 USDT — confirmed by VPOC (volume point of control).
95000 USDT — critical support, below which downward pressure increases.
94000 USDT — extreme bearish level.
🔷 Updated Fibonacci levels
🔸 Recovery levels:
0.5 — 107127 USDT
0.62 — 107964 USDT
0.79 — 109199 USDT
🔸 Expansion level (for bullish breakout):
1.618 — 115115 USDT (growth target in the bullish scenario).
🔸 Downward expansion (in case of downward breakout):
-1 — 96410 USDT (bearish scenario target).
🌥️ Ichimoku Cloud
Kijun-Sen — around current prices (103924 USDT), price is testing it.
Senkou Span A > Senkou Span B — trend remains bullish overall, but the cloud is narrowing — a reversal is possible.
Price in the cloud — the market is in a state of uncertainty, trend is 'suspended'.
Chikou Span in the price zone — confirms a sideways market.
📊 Volumes and VPOC
VPOC (volume point of control) — at the level of 101000–102000 USDT.
Horizontal volumes indicate strong accumulation in the 95000–98000 USDT zone.
Recent rising candles — volumes are decreasing, indicating weak upward momentum.
📉 RSI (14)
Current value: 50 — neutral state.
Price may continue in a sideways range (consolidation).
No signs of overbought/oversold.
🔴 MACD
MACD line below the signal line — bearish sentiment.
The histogram remains negative, confirming weakness in growth.
🟨 Bollinger (BB)
Price below the middle of the Bollinger channel — bearish tilt.
Lower boundary of BB — around 95500 USDT, which coincides with critical support.
🔎 Movement scenarios (considering updated Fibonacci levels)
✅ Bullish scenario:
Holding above 101000–102000 USDT with a breakout at 107127–107964 USDT.
Growth to 109199 USDT (0.79 Fibo) and then — 110000 USDT (key maximum).
In a bullish breakout — target expansion 115115 USDT (1.618 Fibo).
✅ Bearish scenario:
Breakdown of 101000 USDT downwards — acceleration of decline to 98000–96000 USDT.
Potential downward movement to 95000 USDT and in the worst case — 94000 USDT (bearish trigger).
Target of extreme decline — 96410 USDT (-1 Fibo).
⚡ Final conclusion
Main resistance zone — 107127–109199 USDT (updated Fibo).
Main support zone — 95000–96000 USDT.
Trend indicators (Ichimoku, MACD) confirm weakness in growth — the market is in a zone of uncertainty.
RSI neutral — further consolidation is possible before a decisive move.
Volumes are low — no strong bullish pressure yet.
