#PCEMarketWatch đ Fedâs Preferred Inflation Metric Cools to 2.5% â Crypto Implications đ
The Core PCE Price Index (the Fedâs favored inflation gauge) cooled to 2.5% YoY in April 2025, down from 2.7% in March, signaling potential relief for risk assets like crypto.
đ Key Takeaways:
- Headline PCE: +2.1% YoY (vs. +2.3% prior)
- Market Reaction: BTC/USDT held $104K as traders weighed delayed Fed rate cuts
- Fed Outlook: Odds of a September cut dip to 65% amid sticky services inflation
đĄ Crypto Angle:
- Stablecoin Demand: USDT/USDC inflows may rise as investors hedge fiat volatility
- Altcoin Watch: ETH/USDT could benefit if inflation slows further (next target: $3,800)
â ïž Warning: Core PCE remains above the Fedâs 2% target â macro uncertainty lingers.
Pro Tip: Monitor June 27âs PCE update â a drop below 2.4% could trigger a crypto rally.
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