Capriole CEO Charles Edwards reveals why BTC is ready to soar, but altcoins are nowhere close to rotating.

๐Ÿ”ถ Bitcoin: All Signs Point to $150Kโ€“$200K

In a powerful interview with Korean researcher @JuhyukB, Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards said Bitcoin could hit $200,000 this yearโ€”if current macro and on-chain trends continue.

โžค โ€œWeโ€™re printing new all-time highs on daily and weekly closes.โ€

โžค โ€œIf we stay above $104K, $150Kโ€“$200K is definitely possible.โ€

๐Ÿ” Why So Bullish?

Caprioleโ€™s Macro Index, a machine-learning model analyzing 100+ data points (Fed liquidity, bonds, equities, etc.), has turned strongly bullish. Other key signals align:

  • โœ… MVRV Z-Score supports valuation upside


  • โœ… Hodler growth remains strong


  • โœ… Energy Value shows expanding momentum

๐Ÿ”ด Altcoins: Still Structurally Broken


Edwards didnโ€™t sugarcoat it: altcoins are in trouble.

โžค โ€œThe altcoin space is fatigued. Retail got wrecked.โ€

โžค โ€œThereโ€™s no level playing field anymoreโ€”Bitcoin ETFs and US policy are centralizing capital flows.โ€

๐Ÿ“‰ Altcoins face deep structural issues:

  • ๐Ÿงจ Failed ICOs & broken tokenomics


  • ๐Ÿ’ฅ Fallout from FTX & scams


  • ๐Ÿฆ Institutional avoidance of small-cap risk

Todayโ€™s big money isnโ€™t flowing into random tokens โ€” itโ€™s going to Bitcoin ETFs, corporate treasuries, and regulated vehicles.

๐ŸŸก When Will Altcoins Wake Up?


โžค Edwardsโ€™ answer: Not anytime soonโ€”but maybe later this year.

Right now:

  • Only 5% of altcoins are above their 200-day moving average


  • Thatโ€™s not bullish


  • This is a Bitcoin-only rally

๐Ÿ“Š What needs to happen?

  • Bitcoin must break $140K+


  • Altcoins need to remain weak at first


  • Only then will capital likely rotate downstream

โ€œIf altcoins start pumping while Bitcoinโ€™s stuck, thatโ€™s a top signal,โ€ he warned.

โ€œYou want the alt rotation to start after BTC hits new highs.โ€

๐ŸŒ€ The Halving Cycle is Dead?

One of the boldest statements Edwards made:


โ€œThe four-year halving cycle is dramatically weaker now.โ€


Hereโ€™s why:

  • Miners only control 2โ€“3% of new supply


  • ETFs and institutional inflows are now the main drivers


  • Sovereign accumulation and corporate treasuries are shaping market structure

This shift:

  • Reduces the chance of -80% crashes


  • But increases leverage risk from publicly traded Bitcoin-heavy firms


๐Ÿง  Caprioleโ€™s Edge: Beyond Bitcoin

While BTC remains Caprioleโ€™s core holding, Edwards revealed exposure to early-stage tech bets:

โžค Quantum computing stocks:

โ€ƒโ€ข IonQ (IONQ)

โ€ƒโ€ข Rigetti (RGTI)

โ€ƒโ€ข D-Wave (QBTS)

โ€ƒโ€ข QUBT

โ€œQuantum is like Bitcoin in 2015,โ€ he said.

High risk, high return.

Capriole also tracks gold closely as a macro hedge.

โžค Gold-to-equity ratio breakout = historically bullish for both gold and Bitcoin.

๐Ÿ”š Final Advice: Tune Out the Noise

Edwards closed with a key insight:


โ€œProbably 99% of headlines donโ€™t matter.โ€


What does matter?

โžค Fed pivots

โžค Global liquidity shifts

โžค Structural capital flow changes

Right now, Bitcoin has these macro tailwinds. Altcoins donโ€™t.


๐ŸŸฉ TL;DR

โœ… Bitcoin is set up for $150Kโ€“$200K

โœ… Altcoins are stuck below long-term resistance

โœ… Institutions are ignoring altsโ€”only BTC is flowing

โœ… Rotation could come laterโ€”but not until Bitcoin dominates first

๐Ÿ” Donโ€™t chase altcoin hype too early. This is a Bitcoin-led cycleโ€”for now.


#bitcoin #altcoins #MarketPullback

$BTC


$SOL


$XRP