Capriole CEO Charles Edwards reveals why BTC is ready to soar, but altcoins are nowhere close to rotating.
๐ถ Bitcoin: All Signs Point to $150Kโ$200K
In a powerful interview with Korean researcher @JuhyukB, Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards said Bitcoin could hit $200,000 this yearโif current macro and on-chain trends continue.
โค โWeโre printing new all-time highs on daily and weekly closes.โ
โค โIf we stay above $104K, $150Kโ$200K is definitely possible.โ
๐ Why So Bullish?
Caprioleโs Macro Index, a machine-learning model analyzing 100+ data points (Fed liquidity, bonds, equities, etc.), has turned strongly bullish. Other key signals align:
โ MVRV Z-Score supports valuation upside
โ Hodler growth remains strong
โ Energy Value shows expanding momentum
๐ด Altcoins: Still Structurally Broken
Edwards didnโt sugarcoat it: altcoins are in trouble.
โค โThe altcoin space is fatigued. Retail got wrecked.โ
โค โThereโs no level playing field anymoreโBitcoin ETFs and US policy are centralizing capital flows.โ
๐ Altcoins face deep structural issues:
๐งจ Failed ICOs & broken tokenomics
๐ฅ Fallout from FTX & scams
๐ฆ Institutional avoidance of small-cap risk
Todayโs big money isnโt flowing into random tokens โ itโs going to Bitcoin ETFs, corporate treasuries, and regulated vehicles.
๐ก When Will Altcoins Wake Up?
โค Edwardsโ answer: Not anytime soonโbut maybe later this year.
Right now:
Only 5% of altcoins are above their 200-day moving average
Thatโs not bullish
This is a Bitcoin-only rally
๐ What needs to happen?
Bitcoin must break $140K+
Altcoins need to remain weak at first
Only then will capital likely rotate downstream
โIf altcoins start pumping while Bitcoinโs stuck, thatโs a top signal,โ he warned.
โYou want the alt rotation to start after BTC hits new highs.โ
๐ The Halving Cycle is Dead?
One of the boldest statements Edwards made:
โThe four-year halving cycle is dramatically weaker now.โ
Hereโs why:
Miners only control 2โ3% of new supply
ETFs and institutional inflows are now the main drivers
Sovereign accumulation and corporate treasuries are shaping market structure
This shift:
Reduces the chance of -80% crashes
But increases leverage risk from publicly traded Bitcoin-heavy firms
๐ง Caprioleโs Edge: Beyond Bitcoin
While BTC remains Caprioleโs core holding, Edwards revealed exposure to early-stage tech bets:
โค Quantum computing stocks:
โโข IonQ (IONQ)
โโข Rigetti (RGTI)
โโข D-Wave (QBTS)
โโข QUBT
โQuantum is like Bitcoin in 2015,โ he said.
High risk, high return.
Capriole also tracks gold closely as a macro hedge.
โค Gold-to-equity ratio breakout = historically bullish for both gold and Bitcoin.
๐ Final Advice: Tune Out the Noise
Edwards closed with a key insight:
โProbably 99% of headlines donโt matter.โ
What does matter?
โค Fed pivots
โค Global liquidity shifts
โค Structural capital flow changes
Right now, Bitcoin has these macro tailwinds. Altcoins donโt.
๐ฉ TL;DR
โ
Bitcoin is set up for $150Kโ$200K
โ
Altcoins are stuck below long-term resistance
โ
Institutions are ignoring altsโonly BTC is flowing
โ
Rotation could come laterโbut not until Bitcoin dominates first
๐ Donโt chase altcoin hype too early. This is a Bitcoin-led cycleโfor now.
#bitcoin #altcoins #MarketPullback