One of the difficulties in analyzing the market is that it is dynamic and involves strategic games. There is no standard; even if you have the most accurate data and the best technical analysis, you can still be wrong. In addition, you need to have the mindset of a market maker to maintain a high level of accuracy.
In the past 1-2 months, I have met many skilled traders who have been shorting and trying to predict the market peak. They are considered skilled because they had performed decently before. Recently, however, they have been consistently predicting peaks and shorting, to the point of being wildly incorrect, without adjusting their mindset, sticking to one direction completely. It seems these people can no longer be called skilled; true experts should possess the ability to adjust in real-time and align with the trend.
When your accuracy rate approaches 80-90%, what remains is to place a bet; with such a high level of certainty, you need to take a risk.
Betting does not mean leveraging to the maximum, but rather maintaining a reasonable leverage to follow the direction.
When your focus shifts from the price movement in an hour to the market trends in weeks or months, you are not far from making a profit.
