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📅 May 30th BTC Market Review – Kya Ye Akhri Fake Rally Hai?
Kal Bitcoin ne thoda sa pullback dikhaya, aur price lagbhag 105,300 tak neeche aaya. Ab BTC ne 20-day moving average (106,300) ko bhi break kar diya hai. Agar agle 1-2 din mein BTC is level ko wapas recover nahi karta, toh yah pullback aur gehra ho sakta hai – shayad 100,000 ya phir 95,000 tak bhi ja sakta hai.
Lekin, agar BTC 20-day line ko jaldi recover kar leta hai aur thoda sa bounce karta hai, toh mujhe lagta hai ki yah ek fake rally bhi ho sakti hai. Abhi tak mujhe dono scenarios ka 50-50 chance lag raha hai: ya toh yeh ek final fake pump hoga, ya phir market seedha aur neeche chala jayega.
🔍 Kya Expect Kar Sakte Hain Aage?
Is pullback ka base banane ke liye hum thoda technical calculation karte hain:
BTC ne is round mein 74,500 se le kar 111,980 tak rally ki, jo ki lagbhag 37,000 points ka jump tha.
Agar is rally ka 50% pullback hota hai, toh price lagbhag 93,000 ke aas paas aayega.
0.618 retracement ka level hoga around 89,000
Aur 0.382 retracement aayega kareeb 97,000
Mujhe lagta hai ki BTC ka final pullback zone 93,000 - 95,000 ke beech ho sakta hai, especially kyunki 60-day MA bhi kareeb 90,000 pe hai. Aur agar hum weekly chart dekhein, toh BTC ne continuous 8 hafton tak rally ki hai, toh naturally kam se kam 3 hafton ka pullback expected hai.
🧠 Mera Personal View (Not Financial Advice!)
1. MACD wapas 0 axis pe aa chuka hai, jo pullback continuation ka signal de raha hai.
2. Agar agle kuch din mein BTC wapas 20-day MA ke upar aa jaata hai, toh ho sakta hai ek final fake rally aaye 110,000 tak – jo mujhe personally lagta hai ki positions kam karne ka sahi time hoga, na ki buy karne ka.
3. Agar BTC 20-day MA recover nahi karta, toh direct breakdown hoke market 100,000 se neeche bhi ja sakta hai.
4. Jo log dip pe buy karne ka soch rahe hain, unke liye 93,000 - 95,000 ka zone ek solid entry point ho sakta hai, with rebound targets around 105,000.
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🚨 Disclaimer: Yah mera apna market observation hai aur kisi bhi tarah ka financial advice nahi hai. Har investor ko apne risk level ke hisaab se decision lena chahiye.
