$BTC

🔥 【$BTC/USDT Bull-Bear Showdown at $105,000: On-chain Whales' Movements Release Key Signals!】

📊 Real-time Battle Report

- Current Price $103,850, 24-hour Trading Volume $58 Billion, Binance Order Book Shows $105,000 has a Pile of 22,000 BTC Sell Wall (Approximately $2.3 Billion), Breakthrough Requires Epic Buy Pressure!

- Options Market Bets: $105,000 Call Open Interest Reaches $980 Million, If Breakthrough Occurs, It May Trigger a Short Squeeze!

Three Major Catalysts for Trend Reversal*

1️⃣ Institutional Ammunition in Place:

- BlackRock's Spot ETF Has Seen Net Inflows for 18 Consecutive Days, Yesterday Increased by 5,200 BTC (Approximately $540 Million), Custodial Addresses Surpass 470,000 BTC, Accounting for 2.4% of Circulation.

- MicroStrategy Raises $780 Million by Collateralizing BTC Bonds, Suspected to be Ammunition for $110,000 Offensive and Defensive Battle.

2️⃣ On-chain Lifeline:

- Whale Divergence: Among the Top 10 Addresses, 6 Increased Holdings (+14,000 BTC), 3 Decreased Holdings (-8,000 BTC), Bull-Bear Competition Intensifies.

- Miners' Surrender Ends: Overall Network Hashrate Bounces Back, Shutdown Price Steadily Maintains at $58,000, Daily Selling Volume Drops to 900 BTC (Peak Period 10%).

3️⃣ Macroeconomic Time Bomb Countdown:

- Federal Reserve Chairman Powell Speaks at 22:00, If He Signals “Controlled Inflation,” Rate Cut Probability May Soar to 80%, Boosting BTC Breakthrough.

- U.S. CPI Data to be Released Tomorrow Night, Expected at 3.1% (Previous Value 3.4%), Below Expectations May Ignite Bullish Sentiment!

Operational Strategy

✅ Bullish Charge Signal:

- If Breaks $104,500 (Previous High on 4-hour Chart), Go Long, Target $107,000 (1.618 Fibonacci), Stop Loss $103,200.

- Spot Holders Pledge BTC to Borrow USDC, Hedging Short-term Volatility (Interest Rate 8%), Retaining Upside Exposure.

⛔ Bearish Defense Zone:

- If Falls Below $102,000 (30-day Moving Average), Reverse and Go Short, Target $99,800 (Institutional Cost Zone), Stop Loss $102,800.

⚠️ Ultimate Warning:

When Halving Scarcity Collides with Macroeconomic Liquidity, Tonight $BTC Will Determine the Bull-Bear Divide!

#BTC Bull-Bear Battle #On-chain Competition #Crypto Trend Reversal Day