📉 FED Prepares to Lower Interest Rates by the End of June 2025 – Opportunity or Psychological Trap?
Rumors of the Fed cutting interest rates are stirring the entire financial market. But is this the time to 'gather goods', or just a prelude to a classic fakeout?
📌 Overview:
• The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates by 25bps by the end of June 2025 (according to Goldman Sachs, Barclays)
• Main reason: weak labor market + inflation no longer rising sharply → Fed forced to pivot
📊 Supporting data:
• Unemployment rate in May slightly increased to 4.1%
• CPI last month remained at 3.2%, not decreasing further
• VIX index (volatility) increased by 5.6% in 2 days
🧠 Trader's perspective:
• A dovish Fed does not mean 'buy everything'
• The market needs confirmation: will there be consecutive rate cuts?
• A single 25bps cut will not be enough to create a strong upward trend if liquidity does not return
🎯 Action strategy:
• Prioritize holding assets that have previously decreased significantly: mid-cap US stocks, altcoin layer 1
• Do not FOMO at the beginning of the news – wait for confirmation from the D1 chart and volume
• BTC under $105k: buy zone
• ETH around $2,650: medium-term opportunity if the Fed continues to lower rates
💭 Do not view interest rate news as a 'magic key'. It is just one link in the wheel of market psychology.
