Plain Breakdown of Major Events:
Core Alarm ⚠️
Coinbase Internal Data Exposed: In Q1 2025, the US Bitcoin spot ETF shows strange signals—
Institutional Holding Ratio Plummets by 18% (from 45% to 27%)
Retail Holding Volume Bounces to Historical High (Seasonal Increase of 2.1 million BTC)
Giant Whale Escape Route Map
Profit Taking: Bitcoin rises from $100,000 to $140,000, institutions cash out over $12 billion
Policy Hedging: The Federal Reserve hints at 'possibly delaying interest rate cuts', large funds withdraw in advance
Shifting Positions: On-chain tracking reveals some institutions are moving to Bitcoin staking protocols (annualized yield over 12%)
Retail Investors' Frenzied Highlights
Elderly Charge: Brokerage app account openings increase by 300% in weeks, comment section flooded with 'buy the dip'
Salary Dollar-Cost Averaging Surges: The median monthly investment amount for the 25-35 age group reaches $650 (only $200 in 2024)
Miraculous Operations Emerge: Some retail investors split their wedding house down payment into 10 portions, adding one portion for every 5% drop
Understand the Impact on Retail Investors in Three Minutes
Good News: After institutional withdrawal, volatility decreases, Bitcoin is unlikely to see a single-day ±20% crash
Bad News: Buying power weakens, breaking through $150,000 will take longer
Hidden Danger Warning: If the US stock market suddenly crashes, retail investors' panic selling might trigger a 'many kill many' disaster
Retail Investor Self-Rescue Guide
Look at Two Wind Indicators
Grayscale GBTC Holdings (Institutional Withdrawal Thermometer):
→ If there are five consecutive days of net outflows, be cautious of a downturn
Exchange Dollar-Cost Averaging Data (Retail Sentiment Mirror):
→ Weekly Dollar-Cost Averaging Exceeds $1 Billion = Overheating Warning
Learn Three New Ways to Live
Turtle Flow: Only buy spot and avoid contracts, double down on investment when falling below $100,000
Arbitrage Dog: Use the price difference between US and Hong Kong stocks (e.g., arbitrage when IBIT is at a 3% premium)
Coin Hoarding Faction: Transfer to cold wallet staking, ignore price fluctuations and earn interest
Ultimate Prophecy
‘When Wall Street Giants Exit, Bitcoin Truly Belongs to the People!’
This epic job swap means:
Short-term explosive growth is difficult (no institutions lifting the market)
But crashes are limited (retail investors hold firm and do not sell)
A true bull market requires waiting for new catalysts (such as the approval of the ETH spot ETF)
Data Doesn't Lie: When institutions retreat, it is often a golden period for retail investors to hone their skills. Remember, in the last cycle, 94% of retail investors who persisted in dollar-cost averaging eventually profited—slow is fast!
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$BTC