BTC conf, FOMC minutes, and Fed balance hit this week
I mapped out every catalyst and what they mean for crypto
Here’s the timeline and exact plan how to make 5+ figs from it
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✯ Crypto doesn’t care about weekends, but this week changes everything
✯ Four major events will collide in 3 days and trigger directional volatility
✯ If you’re positioned wrong, you’ll miss the wave or get wiped by it
✯ Here’s a new breakdown: what’s coming, what it means, and how to profit
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✯ It all starts May 27 with the Bitcoin Conference 2025 in Las Vegas
✯ This isn’t just a fan meetup - it’s a platform for political positioning
✯ Eric Trump, Donald Jr., Saylor, Rost and Wilbrecht are all confirmed
✯ There’s real expectation that Ethereum gets a major narrative push
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✯ Best-case scenario: Eric Trump praises Ethereum as innovation backbone
✯ Media runs with it → ETH pumps → memecoins and Solana ecosystem follow
✯ Worst-case: nothing meaningful, market sells the silence
✯ Trade setup: Front-run ETH with tight stops, rotate to narrative coins fast
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✯ May 28 brings the release of FOMC minutes - the real market mover
✯ Everyone’s looking for one thing: signs of a pivot, or its delay
✯ Minutes expose how close we are to the first rate cut or next hike
✯ No press conference. No spin. Just raw data from inside the Fed
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✯ Positive read: officials debating downside risks and hinting at easing
✯ BTC and NDX spike together - risk flows return, shorts get blown out
✯ Negative read: consensus for staying tight to fight sticky inflation
✯ Trade plan: pre-position small, react to tone via gold, DXY, BTC reaction
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✯ May 29 is when the macro floodgates open
✯ You’ll get three data bombs in a single session:
✯ US Q1 GDP revision
✯ Initial Jobless Claims
✯ Federal Reserve Balance Sheet (liquidity map)
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✯ If GDP is revised downward + jobless claims spike → recession alarm
✯ That nukes risk-on assets and creates a liquidity rush to safety
✯ If GDP is revised upward + jobless stable → market breathes again
✯ Trade: short high-beta alts on weak data, buy BTC/ETH if strong prints hit
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✯ The hidden variable? Fed balance sheet data
✯ If it shrinks too aggressively, liquidity dries up - risk-off switch flips
✯ If it expands or stays neutral, it supports the entire airdrop meta
✯ Track this weekly - it’s the invisible fuel behind every altcoin rally
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✯ On May 30 we get the April PCE - the Fed’s favorite inflation print
✯ This report is arguably more important than CPI or payrolls now
✯ Powell has openly said PCE guides policy more than headline CPI
✯ This is your final catalyst before summer volatility takes over
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✯ Low PCE = markets breathe → BTC retests $105K → SOL and AVAX wake up
✯ High PCE = market reprices Fed policy → sharp pullback → stablecoin inflows
✯ Even a neutral PCE can drive big moves if expectations were extreme
✯ Trade: wait for PCE, then use alt-BTC ratios to catch rotation plays
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✯ Here’s what most will get wrong this week: they’ll overreact to noise
✯ You need a simple framework: conference = narrative, FOMC = tone
✯ GDP = strength, PCE = direction
✯ Think in sequence, not chaos - stack your trades, don’t rush them
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✯ What I’m doing:
✯ Monday: buying ETH narratives and cheap Solana calls
✯ Wednesday: playing long BTC short ETH if Fed sounds hawkish
✯ Friday: rotating hard into spot if PCE confirms disinflation
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✯ No time for vibes - this is institutional chess disguised as public data
✯ If you know what to look for, you trade ahead of the herd
✯ If you don’t - you’re the exit liquidity for smarter players
✯ Watch the events, plan the plays, and execute with precision
Also make sure to follow.
#BinanceHODLerSOPH #Bitcoin2025 #SaylorBTCPurchase $BTC