My Strategy to Lock In Profits Before the Crash
The crypto market is a wild place — full of opportunity, but just as packed with risk. After watching the space evolve over the years, studying Bitcoin’s historical cycles, and learning (sometimes the hard way), I’ve decided that August 2025 is when I’ll cash out of my entire crypto portfolio.
In this article, I’ll walk you through the exact strategy I’m using, the signals I’m monitoring, and why I’m not waiting around hoping to time the absolute top.
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1. The Four-Year Bitcoin Cycle: Why August 2025 Matters
Bitcoin operates on a four-year cycle driven by its halving events — the last of which occurred in April 2024. Historically, a bull run tends to follow within 12 to 18 months of a halving, culminating in a peak before the inevitable correction.
We saw this play out in 2013, 2017, and 2021. If the pattern holds, the market could hit euphoric highs between August and November 2025. That’s why I’ve chosen August as my exit window — early enough to capture strong profits, but not so late that I risk holding through the crash.
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2. Why I’m Not Trying to Time the Exact Top
Let’s be real: greed destroys profits.
In past cycles, I’ve watched gains evaporate as I held out for just a little more. Then the market tanked — sometimes by 60% to 80% — and those “paper profits” vanished. This time, I’m not waiting around for the perfect exit. I’m locking in what I’ve earned.
I’d rather leave a bit on the table than ride the roller coaster back down.
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3. Top Signals I’m Watching
Here’s what I believe will mark the final stage of the bull run — and signal it’s time to exit:
• Mainstream media hype everywhere (think CNBC and morning shows)
• Retail mania — people who’ve never touched crypto asking how to buy
• Altcoins outperforming Bitcoin (a typical late-stage trend)
• Bitcoin dominance falling sharply
• FOMO at its peak across social media platforms
• Meme coins and NFTs making headlines again
If these signs start flashing by August, I’m out — no questions asked.
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4. My Step-by-Step Exit Plan
Here’s how I’m structuring my exit:
• July 2025: Set trailing stop losses to protect gains.
• Early August: Sell riskier altcoins first.
• Mid-August: Offload mid-cap coins and start exiting ETH and BTC.
• Late August: Fully exit all positions, including Bitcoin and Ethereum.
• After selling: Move funds into USD, high-yield savings, or T-bills for safety.
This phased approach ensures I’m not rushing to exit everything at once — but I’ll still be out before the music stops.
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5. What Happens After I Sell?
Once I’m out, I’ll sit in stable assets, watch the market from the sidelines, and wait for the inevitable correction. Just like I did in 2019 and 2022, I’ll be ready to accumulate again when prices hit bear market lows — likely sometime in 2026 or 2027.
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Final Thoughts: Discipline Over Hype
In crypto, the winners aren’t the ones chasing moonshots — they’re the ones who lock in profits and stay disciplined. I’ve learned that profit only matters once it’s realized.
August 2025 is my finish line for this cycle. I’m walking away before the crash, with gains intact and my peace of mind secured.