🎯 Bitcoin Analysis 2025 – According to scenarios
✅ Bullish Scenario:
🔹 Reasons:
The impact of the 2024 halving historically leads to a price peak after 12-18 months.
Institutional money entering through ETF funds.
Dollar weakness and increased adoption of Bitcoin as a hedge asset.
🔹 Target levels:
Level Interpretation
$85,000 - $100,000 Psychological resistance and target after halving
$120,000 - $150,000 If the market adopts strong FOMO
$200,000+ In case of irrational rise (bubble)
🔸 Strategy:
Entry from support areas (especially below $60K).
Gradually taking profits after $100K.
Monitoring price behavior near historical peaks.
⚠️ Neutral/Weak Bullish Scenario:
🔹 Reasons:
Improvement in the market but without massive liquidity inflow.
Regulations slow adoption.
The global economy is in a state of uncertainty.
🔹 Potential price range:
$45,000 – $90,000
🔸 Strategy:
Trading within the range.
Focus on technical analysis (support/resistance points).
Using DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging).
❌ Bearish Scenario:
🔹 Reasons:
Collapse in financial markets.
Tight government regulations (bans, taxes).
Mass institutional selling.
🔹 Risk levels:
Level Notes
$40,000 Strong psychological support
$30,000 Very strong historical support
Less than $30K Requires a real market disaster
🔸 Strategy:
Stop loss clearly below major support.
No margin trading.
Holding USDT/USDC as part of the portfolio.
📊 Technical analysis (General):
Current strong support: $58K - $62K
Next resistance: $74K then $85K
Moving averages (MA200, MA50) indicate upward momentum.
Weekly RSI: Watch out for overbought conditions.