Historical Patterns of Bitcoin Decline:
1. **After Halvings:** Historically, Bitcoin tends to rise after a halving (like the one that occurred in April 2024), but in previous cycles it also underwent **strong corrections about 6 to 12 months later**, when the "hype" starts to cool down and investors take profits.
2. **End of bull market cycles:** Historical peaks (like in 2013, 2017, and 2021) were followed by declines between 70% to 85%. These declines generally occur **a few months after the peak**, when the market enters "euphoria mode" and then collapses.
### What to watch for in 2025:
* **Current moment:** After the April halving, many analysts expect a peak between **September 2025 and March 2026**.
* **Technical indicators:** If Bitcoin surpasses its previous peak (US\$ 69.000) and reaches the range between **US\$ 100.000 and US\$ 120.000**, there may be a strong correction soon after.
* **Warning signs:** Excessive volume, very rapid increases, widespread euphoria on social media and news, increases in meme altcoins, are all indications of a possible “peak” and correction.
### Conclusion:
If the cycle follows the historical pattern, **a potential meltdown may begin between late 2025 and the first half of 2026**. But remember: the market can surprise, and this **is not a certainty, just an analysis based on previous data**.
