The Night Before Powell's Speech: A Silent Game is About to Begin

Today (2:40 PM New York time), Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver a public speech. This speech seems ordinary, but it actually hides secrets; a single sentence could trigger significant market volatility.

Why is this speech so critical?

The current market is in a highly sensitive state:

- If Powell signals "inflation is slowing," asset prices may experience a short-term rebound;

- If he emphasizes "policies still need to tighten," risk assets may face downward pressure;

- Any hint about the "long-term interest rate path" could directly determine the flow of funds.

Three Key Observation Points

1. Inflation Statements

- If he mentions "inflation has peaked" or "declining trend is clear," market bulls may collectively breathe a sigh of relief;

- If he emphasizes "core data remains sticky," bearish momentum may accelerate.

2. Policy Stance

- The appearance of keywords like "easing" or "policy flexibility" may ignite risk appetite;

- Vague statements like "remain patient" or "data-dependent" may exacerbate market divergence.

3. Economic Expectations

- Optimistic/pessimistic assessments of the job market or consumer confidence will directly affect the market's judgment on a "soft landing" or "hard landing."

Practical Suggestions

1. Wait for Confirmation Signals

- Do not attempt to preemptively react to the first wave of responses; initial market volatility may be accompanied by noise;

- Focus on the price movements of key assets within 30 minutes after the speech before deciding whether to get involved.

2. Strict Stop-Losses

- Current market sentiment is fragile; any unexpected statements could trigger a chain reaction;

- Avoid excessive leverage and maintain sufficient safety margins.

3. Avoid Subjective Speculation

- Powell's wording is often meticulously crafted; instead of guessing intentions, observe the market's actual response;

- Maintain strategic flexibility and be ready to respond to different scenarios.

In Conclusion

This speech is not a prediction game, but a test of execution. The market always rewards those who are calm, rational, and well-prepared.

At 2:40 PM New York time, the world's attention is focused—are you ready to face this silent storm? #加密市场反弹 #巨鲸JamesWynn动态