📈 How to determine if the big player is pulling the market and offloading? Is the trend about to start? — Key practical analysis
The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, with various trading methods employed by big players. Identifying the signals of market pulling and offloading is a core task for every trader. Below are the most practical judgment standards to help you avoid pitfalls and maximize gains.
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✅ 1. Five typical signals of big player market pulling
1️⃣ Decreased volume oscillation + false breakdown at the tail
• Characteristics during the main force's accumulation period, the tail often induces short positions to shake off floating shares.
2️⃣ Increased volume long bullish breakout at key levels
• Trading volume significantly expands, breaking through the box top/moving average, indicating a true breakout signal.
3️⃣ Frequent abnormal movements in the market
• Support orders, sweeping the market, large orders being placed and withdrawn, mostly indicate the main force testing the market/control.
4️⃣ Volume-price divergence resisting declines
• When the market is falling, individual coins resist the decline, signaling the main force quietly building positions.
5️⃣ Moving averages convergence + golden cross with increased volume upward
• After MA5, MA10, and MA20 converge, the golden cross with increased volume starts, indicating a standard signal of upward movement.
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❌ 2. Six major trap signals of big player offloading
1️⃣ High volume stagnation or pullback after a rise
• Clearly inducing buying, the main force distributes chips using market sentiment.
2️⃣ False breakout (breakout followed by pullback)
• K-line rises but closes with a bearish candle or long upper shadow, a technical inducing behavior.
3️⃣ Fishing line (rapid drop and pull back) appears repeatedly
• Cleansing short-term positions or creating volatility for offloading.
4️⃣ MACD top divergence + death cross
• Momentum is exhausted, clear signal of a trend top.
5️⃣ Positive news leads to a drop
• The big player distributes shares using news, retail investors take the bait, a typical signal at the emotional peak.
🔍 3. Is the trend about to start? Look for these points!
To determine if a trend is truly about to start, it's not about how perfect the K-line is, but rather considering the following four core dimensions:
First, is the trading volume increasing but not too sharply?
True upward movements see volume gradually released, not an instantaneous spike. A spike without an increase in price indicates inducing buying or counter-trading.
Second, is the K-line structure healthy and natural?
During a strong upward trend, bullish candles should dominate, while bearish candles should be small and low in volume. Frequent occurrences of large bearish candles or long upper shadows indicate strong selling pressure above, making the trend unstable.
Third, is the behavior of the main force clear and defined?
A true main force pulling the market will actively consume orders and maintain control, with the market showing support. If it behaves as if it rises only to drop quickly or frequently induces buying, it's a sign of offloading.