### $BTC Bitcoin Price Prediction for the Next 6–12 Months (May 2025 – May 2026)

Based on a synthesis of technical analysis, expert forecasts, and macroeconomic factors from multiple sources, here’s a detailed outlook for $BTC Bitcoin’s performance over the next 6–12 months:

### **Key Predictions and Trends**

1. **Short-Term (6 Months: May–Oct 2025)**

- **Price Range**:

- **Bullish Scenario**: Bitcoin could surge to **$128,000–$150,000** by late 2025, driven by ETF inflows, institutional adoption, and bullish technical patterns like the "cup and handle" .

- **Bearish Scenario**: A failure to sustain momentum could trigger a correction to **$74,000–$90,000**, influenced by profit-taking or macroeconomic headwinds .

- **Catalysts**:

- **ETF Demand**: Continued inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, especially from institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity, may drive liquidity .

- **Regulatory Clarity**: Pro-crypto policies under the U.S. administration (post-Trump election) could boost market confidence .

- **Technical Indicators**: The 50-day SMA ($94,730) and 200-day SMA ($86,569) suggest strong support, while the RSI (63.85) indicates neutral-to-bullish momentum .

2. **Medium-Term (12 Months: May 2025–May 2026)**

- **Price Targets**:

- **Conservative Estimate**: $140,000–$175,000, aligning with historical post-halving cycles and institutional accumulation .

- **Aggressive Forecast**: $200,000+, if Bitcoin’s adoption as a "reserve asset" accelerates and global liquidity expands .

- **Risks**:

- **Market Corrections**: Analysts warn of a potential 30–60% correction post-peak (e.g., to $50,000) in late 2025/early 2026, based on Elliott Wave Theory .

- **Macro Factors**: Rising inflation or geopolitical tensions could drive investors toward Bitcoin as a hedge, but Federal Reserve rate hikes may pressure risk assets .