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Midday Market Outlook: BTC Trend Simulation & Strategy
BTC Trend Scenarios
Scenario 1: Sustained Rebound
Trigger: Price stabilizes above $108,200
Targets:
• Initial Upside: $109,000 – $109,500
• Breakout Zone: $110,000 – $111,000
Scenario 2: Technical Pullback
Trigger: Drop below $108,000
Support Zones:
• Primary Support: $107,200 – $107,500
• Secondary Support: $106,500 – $106,800
Scenario 3: High Volatility Event
Catalysts: Unforeseen regulatory action by the US SEC or sudden activation of Mt. Gox compensation plans
Expected Impact: Sudden dip to $105,000 or spike to $112,000
Operational Strategies
Bullish Approach
Entry: Light long positions between $108,100 – $108,300
Stop Loss: $107,500
Target: $109,500 – $110,000
Pullback Add-on: Reinforce positions at $107,500, with stop at $106,800; target unchanged
Bearish Approach
Short Setup: Enter shorts around $109,000 – $109,200
Stop Loss: $110,000
Target: $108,000 – $108,500
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