#Polkadot (DOT) has seen its price slide again, raising concerns about the strength of bullish momentum in the market. Recent price action suggests sellers are regaining control, as DOT trades within a falling channel pattern, with key indicators signaling a shift in sentiment.
Earlier this month, $DOT made an attempt to break above the $6 mark. However, after reaching $5.60, selling pressure intensified, pushing the token lower. Over the past week, DOT has declined by 10%, leaving traders questioning whether buyers still have the strength to reclaim higher levels or if bears are set to dominate the market in the near term.
Bearish Signals Strengthen
The 4-hour chart shows DOT trapped in a falling channel—a pattern that can sometimes precede a bullish breakout, particularly after an upward trend. However, the current setup suggests otherwise. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), an indicator used to measure buying and selling pressure, has declined sharply. After reaching a relatively strong 0.17 reading in recent days, the CMF has now dropped to 0.08, signaling weakening accumulation and growing seller dominance.
This shift in the CMF suggests a bearish divergence, further reinforced by DOT's downward momentum within the falling channel. Additionally, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) has turned negative, confirming the rising bearish momentum. If this trend persists, DOT may struggle to hold above the $4 mark and could test lower support zones.
Key Levels to Watch
The daily chart offers a broader perspective. A golden cross—where the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) crosses above the 50-day EMA—recently formed, typically a bullish signal. However, DOT has fallen below the 20 EMA and is now approaching the 50 EMA. A breakdown below both EMAs could accelerate the correction, potentially pushing the token toward the $3.24 support level.
This zone may act as a cushion if selling intensifies, but a decisive break below $3 could signal further downside risk.
Path Forward: Bulls Must Reassert Control
Despite the bearish signals, there remains a potential for a bullish reversal if buying momentum returns. Should DOT regain strength and close above the 20 EMA, a rally toward $5.22 is possible, with further upside potential toward $6.44 if momentum builds.
The altcoin market is known for its volatility, and swift reversals are not uncommon. For now, however, DOT’s technical indicators point to a bearish bias. Bulls will need to act quickly to shift momentum and avoid a deeper correction.
As the market waits for clarity, traders and investors should monitor key support levels, watch for shifts in buying pressure, and prepare for potential volatility in the days ahead. The coming sessions may prove critical in shaping Polkadot’s short-term trajectory.
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