2. ETH
Core Signal Analysis
1. Short-term Resistance and Support: The current price is facing key resistance around $2550. If it breaks through, it may test the $2580-$2600 range; support below is at $2515 (morning low) and the psychological level of $2500.
Subsequent Scenario Analysis
Scenario 1: Continued Rebound
Trigger Condition: Price stabilizes above $2550 and trading volume increases, or US stock market sentiment improves in the morning.
Target Path:
First Resistance: $2580-$2600, if broken, may test $2630-$2650.
Scenario 2: Highs Followed by a Drop
Trigger Condition: Price faces resistance at $2550 and may retest the $2515-$2500 range.
Support Validation:
Key Support 1: $2500, if broken, opens a decline towards $2460.
Scenario 3: Extreme Volatility
Black Swan Event: Sudden regulatory policy from the US SEC (e.g., ETH staking compliance disputes), coordinated sell-off by whales (single transaction > 50,000 ETH), may trigger a flash crash below $2450.
Operational Suggestions
1. Bullish Strategy
Aggressive Buying: If it breaks above $2550 with increased volume, take a small position to go long, stop loss at $2520, target $2580-$2600.
Pullback Positioning: If it retests and stabilizes at $2500-$2515, build positions in batches, stop loss at $2480, target $2550-$2580.
2. Bearish Strategy
Shorting from Highs: Open short positions in the $2550-$2580 range, stop loss at $2600, target $2515-$2500.
