#openAi OpenAI’s $174 billion vision for 2030

In an industry where bold bets often blur the line between foresight and fantasy, OpenAI’s internal projections for the next five years are ambitious even by Silicon Valley standards. According to The Information, the company behind ChatGPT has informed investors that it expects to generate $125 billion in revenue in 2029 and $174 billion in 2030. These figures would place it in the same revenue orbit as current tech heavyweights such as Nvidia or Meta.OpenAI’s near-term growth plans are equally aggressive. For 2025, the company expects to more than triple its revenue to $12.7 billion, rising from an estimated $3.7 billion in 2024.

In 2026, the figure could reach close to $30 billion as newer artificial intelligence products start to take on a larger share of revenue.Of the projected 2029 total, approximately $25 billion is expected to come from offerings that have not yet been publicly disclosed. This points to OpenAI’s belief that its future lies in a broader set of use-cases beyond today’s chatbot-centered applications.#writetoearn

However, such rapid scaling does not come without significant cost. OpenAI’s annual losses are projected to rise to $14 billion in 2026. Between 2023 and 2028, the company is expected to post cumulative losses of around $44 billion.

The largest expense is compute. Training large language models and running inference at scale requires enormous processing power, with 60 to 80% of OpenAI’s costs reportedly allocated toward GPU rentals from providers such as Microsoft Azure and CoreWeave. Talent is another major cost driver. Headcount-related expenses are expected to jump from $700 million in 2024 to around $2 billion in 2025.

While OpenAI’s topline vision evokes comparisons to the birth of a second internet, the company does not expect to turn cash-flow positive until 2029. As of February 2025, ChatGPT had reached 400 million weekly users. However, a growing number of competitors are scaling rapidly, each with a distinct approach aimed at closing the gap.