My Technical Take on $TRUMP/USDT
Price: 13.35 | -13.87%
I’ve been tracking $TRUMP
closely, and here’s my personal breakdown of what’s going on from both the 15-minute and 1-hour charts. I’ll walk you through the recent dump, where I think price might be heading, and where I’m watching for entry and exit zones.
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Quick Price Recap
TRUMP/USDT saw a sharp move from around 12.70 all the way up to 16.00 before dumping hard back toward the mid-14s. The initial pump looked like a textbook Bollinger Band squeeze breakout – momentum surged, buyers piled in. But once we hit that upper band around 16.00, the sellers took control. Profit-taking kicked in, stop losses got hit, and in thin liquidity, price dropped like a rock.
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What My Indicators Are Telling Me
On both the 15-minute and 1-hour charts, RSI (6) is hovering near 30 – that’s oversold territory. From my experience, that usually means a short-term bounce is on the table. MACD is confirming the downtrend for now, but the histogram is starting to flatten out, which tells me selling pressure might be fading.
KDJ on both timeframes? Way deep in oversold – and the J line is starting to flatten. I’ve seen this pattern many times before a rebound, especially if volume starts to creep back in.
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Bollinger Bands + Volume = Clues
15-min BBs are sitting at:
Upper: 14.61
Middle: 14.40
Lower: 14.18
Price is hanging near the lower band – that’s often where I look for support and bounce setups.
1-hour BBs are wider:
Upper: 16.15
Middle: 14.98
Lower: 13.81
Volume spiked hard on the way down, but now it’s drying up. That kind of action usually signals sellers are tired, not prepping for another big move.
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What I’m Watching Next
In the next few candles (especially on the 15-min), I’m expecting a push back toward 14.40–14.45. If we see that hold with increasing volume, 14.60–14.65 looks possible. On the 1-hour chart, that bounce would line up with a retest of the middle BB around 14.98.
If bulls fumble again, I’m eyeing 13.81 as support – and if that breaks, we could see 13.40 or even 12.60.
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My Entry Zone
I’m personally watching the 14.18–14.40 zone on the 15-min chart (or 13.81–14.00 on the hourly) for signs of life – like a green candle with a long lower wick bouncing off the band. For confirmation, I want to see RSI pop back over 30, KDJ start to turn up, and MACD histogram begin to recover.
My stop? Just under 13.60. Keeps me protected but gives the trade room to breathe.
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Profit Zones I’m Targeting
If I get in a long, I’m looking to take partial profits around 14.40 (middle band), and more near 14.60–14.65. On the 1-hour, I’d watch for 14.98 to break – if it does with volume, we could make a run at 15.50 or even the recent high of 16.00.
Looking to short? I wouldn’t touch it until I see a clean red reversal candle between 14.60–15.00, paired with a fading RSI, bearish MACD cross, and a volume spike.
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Why the Dump Was So Sharp
The 16.00 area was a classic exhaustion zone. Profit-taking there was expected, but the cascade of stop-loss triggers around 15.50 plus weak overnight liquidity made the drop much worse. Add in automated liquidations, and we got a waterfall until major buyers stepped in at support.
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My Key Levels
Buy zone: 14.18–14.40 (15-min) / 13.81–14.00 (hourly)
Profit targets: 14.40–14.65 / 14.98
Resistance: 15.50 & 16.00
If this breaks down: Watch 13.40 & 12.60
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Hope this helps anyone watching TRUMP like I am. Trade safe, and always manage your risk.
---$TRUMP