Trump's Tariffs: Shockwave on Financial Markets
Impact Analysis:
The protectionist measures announced by Donald Trump (20% tariffs on European imports) have triggered significant movements:
1. Foreign Exchange Market:
- Euro down (-0.44% to 0.8825 against the dollar)
- Dollar strengthened (142.72 yen / 0.823 Swiss franc)
- Pressures on emerging currencies (TRY and EGP)
2. Commodity Market:
- Gold up (+1.78% to $3,352.83/oz)
- Brent oil down ($63.51)
- Correction of Bitcoin (-2.2% to $108,625)
3. Geopolitical Reactions:
- EU's referral to the WTO
- Proposed countermeasures (€95 billion)
- Risk to global growth (-0.5%)
Recommendations:
1. Monitor the technical threshold EUR/USD at 0.88
2. Prudent allocation towards safe-haven assets
3. Increased attention on digital assets
Outlook:
This trade crisis requires particular vigilance on:
- WTO arbitration
- ECB communication
- Progress of negotiations
