AI-Curated Summary
Key Points:
XRP is down 6% over the past 3 months, while the crypto market gained 10%.
Ripple finalized its legal battle with the SEC on May 8, 2025.
XRP was shortlisted as a potential U.S. Digital Asset Reserve candidate earlier this year.
XRP futures open interest surged to $2.2B, showing strong market engagement.
XRP Underperforms Despite Major Milestones
Despite notable breakthroughs in 2025, XRP’s price action remains tepid. While the broader crypto market gained 10% this past quarter, XRP slid 6%, raising questions about investor confidence and near-term price potential.
Ripple’s May 8 settlement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission marked a significant regulatory win. Further bolstering sentiment was XRP’s earlier inclusion on the shortlist for a potential U.S. Digital Asset Reserve. However, these developments have yet to translate into sustained price momentum.
Derivatives Activity Signals Elevated Interest — But No Clear Direction
XRP futures open interest climbed to 923 million tokens (roughly $2.2B) by May 22 — a 31% increase over two weeks. Meanwhile, funding rates surged to an annualized 19%, well above neutral territory.
These figures point to increased speculation but don’t clarify market direction, suggesting traders remain cautious despite the uptick in activity.
Regulatory Clarity Emerges, But Legislative Momentum Lags
Ripple’s conclusion of its SEC case may offer regulatory clarity, but so far, there's been little engagement with U.S. lawmakers to push forward XRP-focused policy. As of now, no legislation directly supporting XRP or Ripple has been announced.
What to Watch: Upcoming Catalysts for XRP
EventEstimated TimingSpot XRP ETF decisionQ4 2025On-chain ecosystem growthOngoingU.S. regulatory updatesPendingBroader market sentimentVariable
These events could shape XRP’s trading volumes and investor interest over the coming months.
Market Outlook: Optimism Tempered by Uncertainty.