1. 📈 Price forecast #ETH (short-term and medium-term)
Short-term (1–3 days):
Neutral-bullish
The price tested the zone $2725 and pulled back, while remaining above the support zone $2665–2670 (Fibonacci levels 0.5–0.618). RSI: 61.83 — remains in the growth zone. The potential short-term movement — to $2760–2790.
A repeated test of $2665 is possible, after which a bounce to $2730 and above may follow.
Medium-term (3–10 days):
Moderately bullish
EMA(7/25/99): EMA7 > EMA25 > EMA99 — confirms an upward trend. Volumes remain above average, the candle momentum from May 20–21 remains strong. If the price holds $2660, the path to $2790–2850 remains open.
2. 🧱 Support and resistance levels
Support:
$2670–2665 (local cluster + level 0.618 Fibonacci)
$2620–2625 (support line and reversal of previous structure)
$2574 (Parabolic SAR + EMA99)
$2556–2557 (1.618 Fibonacci level)
Resistance:
$2725 (current local maximum)
$2734 (0 Fibonacci from the last projection)
$2763 (level -0.27 by Fibonacci)
$2792 (level -1.0 — strong take profit by extension)
3. ✅ Long position (entry, targets, stop):
Entry point:
Aggressive entry: from $2665–2670 (upon confirmation of a bounce)
Conservative entry: upon breaking $2734 with volume and holding above
Targets:
TP1: $2730–2735
TP2: $2760
TP3: $2790–2800
Stop-loss:
$2615 (slightly below support and Fibonacci 1.0)
More aggressively — $2640 (closer to the middle of the range)
4. 🔻 Short position (entry, targets, stop):
Entry point:
From resistance: upon forming a reversal candle from $2730–2740 (false break or bearish engulfing pattern)
On a downward break: upon breaking $2660 on volume and holding below
Targets:
TP1: $2625
TP2: $2574
TP3: $2550
Stop-loss:
$2745 (upon entry from $2730)
$2685 (when entering on a downward break)
5. ⚖️ Scenarios and probabilities
Scenario Description Probability
🔼 Long with holding $2665 Holding support and rising to $2730–2790 60%
🔁 Flat $2660–2730 Consolidation in range 25%
🔽 Downward break $2660 Loss of support and pullback to $2575 15%
Additionally:
RSI (4H): 61.83 — not overbought yet, but close.
Bollinger Bands: upper boundary — $2719, lower — $2581 — the range is expanding, signaling increased volatility.
Volume: growth upon upward break on May 21–22, but the current candle is decreasing — a retest is possible.
