Brothers have copied the homework, now this market is "Whale Eating Humans Scene", keep your eyes glued to three key positions:
1. The long and short battle escalates to version 2.0
The price has been grinding between 111200-111800 for 12 hours, this narrow fluctuation range hides a big conspiracy. The spot ETF has had a net inflow of 280 million dollars for three consecutive days, but the market just won't break through — this is a typical "institution suppressing the market to accumulate positions", every hour they hold the price down, they can accumulate over 200+ BTC in the dark pool.
2. The order book reveals a "phantom order array"
The sell order of 878 BTC on the right is a paper tiger! Look closely at the order book: the actual sell orders that can be executed at the price of 111434.8 are only 4.13 BTC, the remaining 800+ BTC are fishing orders. The order ratio of +3.42% exposes the truth — this tactic is exactly the same as the market on the eve of MicroStrategy’s increased holdings three months ago, at that time they also used fake large orders to suppress the market, and then quickly bought 430 million dollars worth of spot.
3. Technical indicators collectively "lie"
The BOLL band is narrowing to the 198 dollar range, but MACD's "crocodile mouth closing" actually has a line gap of only 0.25. Pay attention to the details of trading volume: in the past four hours, the trading volume decreased by 38%, but the open interest increased by 17% — this is called "the calm before the storm", remember? On the eve of last year's SEC approval of the ETF, this divergence combination appeared, and then it surged 19% in the next 24 hours.
4. The lifeline tonight is at 111850
On-chain alert: in the past 2 hours, 1374 BTC have been transferred from cold wallets to exchanges, this ammunition is enough to break through the 878 BTC sell order. Focus on 21:30, the moment of breakthrough will at least sweep through three layers of orders: 111850→112200→112888.
Operator's quick notes:
① Move stop loss to 111350
② Change breakout order to 111860 with 3% position
③ Change options hedge to buy next week’s at-the-money straddle, with a rate of 23% it’s more cost-effective
Lastly, here's a bombshell: BitMEX leverage is secretly being increased, while the exchange's reserves have decreased by 18,000 BTC. Understand? The big players are sharpening their knives, just waiting for the retail investors to lie down. Remember, sideways movement is the cover for wolves to eat sheep, it’s not calm!
Are you stuck? When to buy the dip? Still the same, if you're confused and helpless and don't know what to do, click on the avatar to comment. I need followers, you need references
Intraday: SUI B BTC CETUS
