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🍕 The legend begins with a slice of pizza...
On May 22, 2025, we once again welcome the most ceremonial festival in the crypto circle - Bitcoin Pizza Day. The story of exchanging 10,000 BTC for two pizzas has become one of the most dramatic value enlightenment lessons in the blockchain world.
On May 22, 2010, a programmer in Florida exchanged 10,000 bitcoins for two pizzas - this transaction, now worth tens of billions of dollars, was just a fun experiment among geeks at the time.
Who would have thought that Bitcoin, once regarded as a 'digital toy', has now surpassed $100,000, with a market value approaching $20 trillion? It has not only reshaped the financial system but also completely overturned humanity's perception of 'currency'.
This is the starting point of the crypto revolution: it all began with two pizzas, ultimately changing the entire world.
But have you ever thought about these core issues:
Why does Bitcoin follow an accurate four-year cycle?
How does the halving mechanism trigger market frenzies?
Now, let us reflect on this most magical evolutionary journey in financial history - filled with moments where madness intertwines with reason, witnessing the most brutal market baptisms, yet also nurturing irresistible wealth opportunities.
The journey of Bitcoin breaking into the mainstream: the evolutionary history from geek toy to global asset.
Initially, it was merely a technical experiment in the geek circle, like an unnoticed digital game. But history quickly proved - Bitcoin's growth has never been gentle and incremental, but rather a series of thrilling breakout battles.
The wild fluctuations of each bull-bear transition, the trust crises following exchange collapses, and the survival tests under regulatory hammers... all become essential lessons for this "rebel" to move towards the mainstream.
Key Timeline of Bitcoin's Fifteen Years: From Geek Experiment to Financial Giant.
1. Emergence Phase (2010–2011): Bitcoin's first real-world application and the first bubble.
On May 22, 2010: Programmer Laszlo Hanyecz used 10,000 BTC to purchase two pizzas, completing the first real-world transaction of Bitcoin, marking the birth of its real value.
July 2010: Mt.Gox exchange went live, and Bitcoin began to form a market pricing mechanism.
February 2011: Bitcoin first broke through $1, followed by a hacker attack on Mt.Gox, causing the price to plummet to $2, marking the collapse of the first bubble.
2. Early Speculation and Regulatory Impact (2013–2015)
2013:
The Cyprus banking crisis propelled Bitcoin's narrative as a safe-haven asset, soaring to $1,163 by the end of the year.
China's central bank banned financial institutions from participating in Bitcoin trading, causing the market to halve.
2014–2015:
Mt.Gox exchange collapsed (850,000 BTC stolen), and Bitcoin fell to $200, entering its first winter.
However, the underlying infrastructure (such as Coinbase and Bitfinex) gradually improved during this period.
3. Initial Institutional Attention and the ICO Craze (2016–2018)
July 2016: Second halving, supply reduction drives market recovery.
2017:
Bitcoin broke through $20,000, leading the entire crypto market into a 'national carnival'.
The ICO bubble burst and subsequently collapsed.
2018: Market crashed, Bitcoin fell to $3,000, entering a bear market.
4. Institutional Bull and Global Monetary Easing (2020–2021)
2020:
The pandemic broke out, and global central banks engaged in massive monetary easing, making Bitcoin an anti-inflation asset.
The third halving (May 2020) further tightened supply.
PayPal supports cryptocurrencies, Tesla bought $1.5 billion in BTC, boosting market confidence.
November 2021: Bitcoin reached a historic high of $69,000, with institutional funds (such as MicroStrategy) entering the market in large numbers.
5. Bear Market Baptism and Market Clearance (2022)
2022:
The Federal Reserve aggressively raised interest rates, tightening market liquidity.
LUNA collapsed, FTX exploded, and Bitcoin fell to $15,500, entering a deep adjustment phase.
6. Institutionalization and Mainstream Recognition (2023–2025)
2023: The market is recovering, and institutions like BlackRock are applying for Bitcoin spot ETFs.
April 2024: The fourth halving occurs, reducing block rewards to 3.125 BTC and further tightening supply.
2025:
Bitcoin surpasses $100,000, and institutions (such as Blackstone and Fidelity) accelerate their positioning.
The spot ETF is approved, funds continue to flow in, and the market enters the 'institutional bull' phase.
Price prediction range: $80,000 - $250,000, with some institutions bullish up to $500,000.
Bitcoin's fifteen years is a financial evolution from 'digital toy' to 'global asset', and its story will continue into the future. 🚀
Bitcoin's bull and bear cycles: halving is the fuse, and the market trend is the story.
To understand the price patterns of Bitcoin, two things must be clear: the first is halving, and the second is cycles. These two are like genetic codes, deeply engraved in Bitcoin's growth trajectory.
Bitcoin's block rewards halve approximately every four years. In its initial stage, each block rewarded 50 BTC, which subsequently decreased to 25, 12.5, 6.25... until April 2024, when Bitcoin completed its fourth halving, producing only 3.125 BTC every 10 minutes.
This is Bitcoin's constant deflationary monetary policy - triggering a feedback shock every four years, with no force capable of intervening, whether you are a president of a country or a Federal Reserve institution.
After each halving cycle, Bitcoin's market trend has almost consistently followed a predetermined script, starting a significant upward trend.
What stage of development is Bitcoin currently in?
Standing at the time node of May 2025, if you ask me what stage Bitcoin is currently in, my answer is - we are experiencing its fourth bull market cycle.
Since the beginning of 2025, the price of Bitcoin has once broken through the $100,000 mark, reaching a high of $109,000. Currently, a large number of traditional financial participants - including ETF institutions, asset management companies, and even some national-level funds - are gradually entering the market.
"This bull market is a bit different."
What once drove Bitcoin's rise was conceptual narratives, while the logic behind the current rise is the repricing of its asset attributes.
Today, Bitcoin has transformed from a speculative target in 2017 into a strategic asset in 2025. This qualitative change means that market volatility still exists, but the frequency of price halving will gradually decrease; although the upward potential is no longer as exaggerated as in the early days, the buying support during pullbacks may be more solid, market bubbles thinner, and the fundamental logic more stable.
On-chain data is corroborating this transformation:
1. The proportion of long-term holders has reached a historical high, with more and more investors choosing to hold for the long term rather than engage in short-term speculation.
2. The selling pressure from miners has significantly weakened, and the hash rate remains stable post-halving, indicating that industry participants are placing more emphasis on long-term value.
3. The supply of Bitcoin on exchanges continues to decrease, with holders reluctant to sell, leading to an increasingly tight market supply structure.
Therefore, the present is not the end of a bull market, but the ongoing process of a new upward cycle. For investors, the key is not to predict how much higher Bitcoin can rise, but to clarify whether they are willing to use their own assets to participate in this historical process of 'restructuring power' in the financial system. If they choose to participate, they must endure short-term volatility; if they choose to wait and see, they at least understand the underlying logic of this transformation.
The capital frenzy belonging to Bitcoin clearly has not reached its end.
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