$BTC In the 8 years I’ve been studying and practicing technical analysis on financial markets, I don’t think I’ve ever seen MACD divergence behave like this. Usually, when a divergence or convergence on higher timeframes doesn’t play out, it actually becomes a very strong signal that the current trend will continue.
For me, a "played-out" MACD divergence means a full reset — crossing the zero line.
➕ A cross from below = potential long signal
➖ A cross from above = potential short signal
That zero line acts like a border between bullish and bearish zones.
Right now, the chart feels like there’s no pulse — like the market is preparing for a big move. And the fact that the short signal didn’t play out? That might actually be the long signal.
Let’s see if I’m right about the direction. And as always — stop-losses are our protection when the market says, “not this time.”