#NXPC #PhanTichKyThuat #CryptoTrading
1. Technical Overview NXPC/USDT
• Current price: 1.897 USDT
• 24h volatility: -2.5%
• Trading volume: Below the MA(5) average in most timeframes
2. Multi-timeframe overall trend
• 15 minutes: RSI ~60.82 – close to overbought, strong negative OBV, weak positive MACD → warning of slight reversal in the short term.
• 1 hour: RSI ~66.35 – already overbought, MA7 and MA25 are below MA99 → weak upward momentum, easy to reverse.
• 4 hours: Neutral RSI ~38.75, negative MACD, OBV remains heavily negative → stable downtrend.
• 1 day: The overall trend is still down, short-term MAs have crossed down → the risk of an increase still remains low.
3. Proposed trading strategy
Short scenario (priority – probability ~65–70%)
• Entry: 1.8985 – 1.9000
• Stop Loss: 1.9100
• Take Profit:
• TP1: 1.8800
• TP2: 1.8600
Reason for choosing Short:
• 1h RSI overbought
• Short-term MA crosses down the long-term MA on H1 and H4
• Strong negative OBV across all 3 timeframes: 15m, 1h, 4h → lack of new buying power
• Overview shows the downtrend still dominates
(Note if the price rises above 1.91 with high volume do not enter Short unless there are clear signs of a reversal candle as the upward trend is dominating, need to stay out and monitor closely; if there is a sudden spike in volume then consider Long)
Long scenario (secondary – probability ~30–35%)
• Condition: Only consider if the price closes above 1.9100 with significantly increased volume
• Risk: The main trend is still down; 4h RSI has not clearly recovered
4. Risk Management
• Suggested R:R ratio: 1:2
• Maximum 2–3% capital for each trade
• Avoid trading if there are upcoming high-impact news releases
• Monitor the 4h RSI and price behavior at the 1.9000 zone to confirm additional signals
Conclusion:
NXPC is in a medium-term downtrend. The 1.9000 price zone acts as strong resistance, suitable for a Short strategy unless there is a sudden volume spike. The Long scenario is only feasible if the price breaks out above 1.9100.
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