🚨 $1000SHIB/USDC: Critical Support Test – Strategic Trade Setup
📉 Price: 0.014390 USDC (-0.96% today | -9.14% 7D | +17.48% 30D)
### 🔍 Key Insights
1️⃣ Bollinger Bands (20,2)
- UP: 0.015025 (Resistance) | MB: 0.014437 (Pivot) | DN: 0.013849 (Make-or-Break Support).
- Price below MB signals bear control. Watch DN for breakdown or reversal.
2️⃣ Momentum Check
- MACD: 0.000024 (Flat – weak bullish flicker).
- RSI(6): 48.05 (Neutral, no edge).
- Stoch RSI: 23.77 (Near oversold, but MA lags at 31.90).
3️⃣ Volume & Sentiment
- Volume: 34.4M (↓55% below 5D MA) – weak participation.
- OBV: -7.1B (Sellers dominate).
- Long/Short Ratio: 2.68 (71% longs – crowded trades risk liquidations).
4️⃣ Futures Bias:
- Basis Rate: -0.11% (Bearish futures positioning).
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### 🎯 Trading Plan
✅ Bear Case:
- Breakdown below 0.013849 (DN) → Target 0.0135-0.0137 (Next liquidity zone).
- Stop-loss above 0.0144 (MB) for shorts.
✅ Bull Case:
- Reclaim 0.014437 (MB) + volume surge → Relief rally to 0.0150 (UP).
- Confirm with RSI(6) >50 + MACD bullish crossover.
⚡ High-Risk Play:
- Only long if price bounces off 0.013849 + Stoch RSI reversal.
- Stop-loss: Tight below 0.0137.
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### ⚠️ Risk Management
- Position Size: ≤2% of portfolio (Extreme volatility).
- Leverage: Avoid – high liquidation risk with 71% longs.
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## 📌 Final Call
Wait for clarity. Current setup favors bears, but SHIB’s 30D volatility (+17.48%) means sharp reversals are possible. Trade DN/MB breaks with strict stops. #SHİB #SHIBUSDT #GENIUSAct