Not every bounce is shortable.



1/
This stage of the cycle, I’m avoiding low-conviction short setups, especially on alts that are already nuked.

2/
Chasing intraday or weekly short plays in thin markets is a quick way to wreck your account. Many of these coins are still down 70–80%+ from their peaks—there’s just not much left to squeeze.

3/Beyond entries and risk-reward, the biggest thing I factor in now is liquidity. Thin books make for dangerous trades. A little buying can send prices flying, especially when everyone’s leaning the same way.

4/When positioning is lopsided and market depth is shallow, it doesn’t take much to flip the script. Short squeezes, forced covers, liquidation runs—it can all unwind fast.

5/I’d rather wait for clean, structured setups on the higher timeframes. Q2 and Q3 might bring those opportunities. Some mid and low caps could become interesting, but I want real confirmation first.

6/I still have a shortlist of alts I’m watching for shorts—but the list is small, and the liquidity has to justify it. Most of what’s tradable on perps right now just isn’t worth the risk.

7/If you're scalping, that’s a different game. But for swing or positional trades, patience and discipline are what’ll keep you alive in this part of the cycle.