鸡父
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Daily Market Analysis in Cryptocurrency (05.18)
Summary:
1. In terms of macro, this issue mainly discusses interest rates.
2. Opportunities for gold trading.
3. Bearish outlook for US stocks this week.
4. Long-term bullish position opportunity for natural gas.
5. Most of last week's performance aligned with expectations; the current upward movement can be understood as a suitable central pivot exit.
6. After previously exiting the central pivot twice and forming a double V reversal structure, it’s important to be cautious with the current central pivot exit.
7. Bearish outlook on smaller timeframes.
8. Opportunities for medium to long-term spot and bullish position layouts.
9. Simulation of bullish market rhythm.
On operations:
1. Short-term:
Currently, a central pivot exit is underway. I personally opened several short positions at a high point on May 13, and I have already closed many positions on the 16th/17th. If all goes well, I will re-enter the closed short positions on Monday.
I might even increase my position a bit, because the upcoming contention is not a 4-hour level down but rather a daily level down, and the depth of this drop is quite considerable.
2. Medium-term:
Starting this week, we are entering a daily level down, with a high possibility of forming a weekly level second buy in June. You can layout medium-term short positions at the three levels of $BTC 108000/$ETH 2525/$SOL 177.7.
For Bitcoin, if you have a core position, add to your position at 113000 and set a stop-loss at 115000;
If you don't have a core position, set a stop-loss at 110000, re-establish at 113000, and set a stop-loss at 115000.
Add to Ethereum at 2578 and SOL at 182.
It’s important to note that for this drop, you need to take all profits at the daily MA250 of Bitcoin, don’t be too greedy.
The take-profit level for Ethereum short positions is around 2100, and for SOL short positions, it’s around 148.
3. Medium to long-term:
Buy spot at the daily MA250, and allocate a 1% position of 100x coin-based long positions, then allocate another 1% position of 100x coin-based long positions at EMA250, and again allocate 1% position of 100x coin-based long positions at MA350.
Do not set a take-profit for long positions initially; manually stop-loss if the weekly closing candle's body breaks below the weekly MA/EMA60.
Spot allocation: Bitcoin 50%, SOL 30%, Altcoins 20%
Altcoin targets: JTO, ONDO, SUI, SEI, STX, MKR, AAVE, TAO, RENDER, XLM, LINK, RENDER, VIRTUAL. New targets: SWARMS
Summary:
1. In terms of macro, this issue mainly discusses interest rates.
2. Opportunities for gold trading.
3. Bearish outlook for US stocks this week.
4. Long-term bullish position opportunity for natural gas.
5. Most of last week's performance aligned with expectations; the current upward movement can be understood as a suitable central pivot exit.
6. After previously exiting the central pivot twice and forming a double V reversal structure, it’s important to be cautious with the current central pivot exit.
7. Bearish outlook on smaller timeframes.
8. Opportunities for medium to long-term spot and bullish position layouts.
9. Simulation of bullish market rhythm.
On operations:
1. Short-term:
Currently, a central pivot exit is underway. I personally opened several short positions at a high point on May 13, and I have already closed many positions on the 16th/17th. If all goes well, I will re-enter the closed short positions on Monday.
I might even increase my position a bit, because the upcoming contention is not a 4-hour level down but rather a daily level down, and the depth of this drop is quite considerable.
2. Medium-term:
Starting this week, we are entering a daily level down, with a high possibility of forming a weekly level second buy in June. You can layout medium-term short positions at the three levels of $BTC 108000/$ETH 2525/$SOL 177.7.
For Bitcoin, if you have a core position, add to your position at 113000 and set a stop-loss at 115000;
If you don't have a core position, set a stop-loss at 110000, re-establish at 113000, and set a stop-loss at 115000.
Add to Ethereum at 2578 and SOL at 182.
It’s important to note that for this drop, you need to take all profits at the daily MA250 of Bitcoin, don’t be too greedy.
The take-profit level for Ethereum short positions is around 2100, and for SOL short positions, it’s around 148.
3. Medium to long-term:
Buy spot at the daily MA250, and allocate a 1% position of 100x coin-based long positions, then allocate another 1% position of 100x coin-based long positions at EMA250, and again allocate 1% position of 100x coin-based long positions at MA350.
Do not set a take-profit for long positions initially; manually stop-loss if the weekly closing candle's body breaks below the weekly MA/EMA60.
Spot allocation: Bitcoin 50%, SOL 30%, Altcoins 20%
Altcoin targets: JTO, ONDO, SUI, SEI, STX, MKR, AAVE, TAO, RENDER, XLM, LINK, RENDER, VIRTUAL. New targets: SWARMS
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
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